Go to HHH home page.
Smart Politics
 


Could Liz Cheney End Wyoming's GOP Incumbency Streak?

Bookmark and Share

All 17 Wyoming Republican U.S. Senate incumbents running for reelection have won their renomination bids over the last century

lizcheney10.jpgReports have surfaced in the past few days that Liz Cheney, daughter of the former Vice-President, is eying a 2014 U.S. Senate bid in the State of Wyoming.

That seat is currently held by three-term Republican incumbent Mike Enzi, who has cruised to 45-point and 51-point reelection victories over the last two cycles.

While there is little clamoring in the Cowboy State to remove Enzi from office - and his seat is currently rated 'safe' by all prognosticators - a Cheney bid would certainly provide for drama in the GOP primary.

In fact, if Cheney were to defeat Enzi, she would make history.

A Smart Politics review of Wyoming U.S. Senate elections finds that no Republican incumbent running for reelection in the direct vote era has failed to win their party's nomination.

To date Wyoming Republican U.S. Senators are 17 for 17 in securing the GOP nomination when running for reelection since the first popular vote contest in the state in 1916.

All but four of these incumbents went on to win the general election including all 11 since 1972.

On six occasions, Wyoming GOP U.S. Senators did not seek reelection: Patrick Sullivan in 1930, Edward Crippa in 1954, Milward Simpson in 1966, Clifford Hansen in 1978, Malcolm Wallop in 1994, and Alan Simpson in 1996. (Sullivan had been appointed in 1929).

The remaining 17 incumbents were all successful in finding their way back on the general election ballot:

· Clarence Clark in 1916.
· Francis Warren in 1918.
· Francis Warren in 1924.
· Robert Carey in 1936.
· Edward Robertson in 1948.
· Frank Barrett in 1958.
· Clifford Hansen in 1972.
· Malcolm Wallop in 1988.
· Alan Simpson in 1990.
· Craig Thomas in 2000.
· Mike Enzi in 2002.
· Craig Thomas in 2006.
· Mike Enzi in 2008.
· John Barrasso in 2008 (special).
· John Barrasso in 2012.

Credible primary challengers to these Republican incumbents have been few and far between over the years, with just three opponents appearing on the ballot across the last six contests featuring a GOP incumbent since 2000.

In fact, no Republican incumbent has ever received less than 70 percent of the vote in a Wyoming U.S. Senate primary.

That makes a Cheney challenge to Enzi in 2014 headline news in the Cowboy State - even if it doesn't significantly improve the chances of the Democratic challenger in this deep red state.

Follow Smart Politics on Twitter.

Previous post: Perry Will Retire with 10th Longest Gubernatorial Tenure in US History
Next post: George H.W. Bush: Hater of Broccoli

Leave a comment


Remains of the Data

Gender Equality in the US House: A State-by State Quarter-Century Report Card (1989-2014)

A study of 5,325 congressional elections finds the number of female U.S. Representatives has more than tripled over the last 25 years, but the rate at which women are elected to the chamber still varies greatly between the states.

Political Crumbs

Final Four Has Presidential Approval

By edging Michigan in the final seconds Sunday, the University of Kentucky guaranteed that one school in the Final Four this year would be located in a state that was not carried by President Barack Obama in 2012. (Connecticut, Florida, and Wisconsin had previously earned Final Four slots over the weekend). Across the 76 Final Fours since 1939, an average of 3.1 schools have been located in states won by the president's ticket during the previous election cycle. All four schools have come from states won by the president 29 times, with the most recent being the 2009 Final Four featuring Connecticut, Michigan State, North Carolina, and Villanova. On 30 occasions three Final Four schools have been located in states won by the president, with two schools 11 times and only one school six times (the most recent being 2012 with Kansas, Kentucky, Louisville, and Ohio State). There has never been a Men's NCAA Division I Final Four in which no schools were located in states carried by the president's ticket.


Three for the Road

A new Rasmussen Poll shows Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker in a dead heat with likely 2014 Democratic nominee Mary Burke. Walker is seeking to win his third consecutive election after prevailing in 2012's recall contest. Eight of his predecessors accomplished this feat: Republicans Lucius Fairchild (in 1869), Jeremiah Rusk (1886), Robert La Follette (1904), Emanuel Philipp (1918), John Blaine (1924), Walter Kohler (1954), Warren Knowles (1968), and Tommy Thompson (1994). Three others Badger State governors lost on their third campaign: Democrat George Peck (1894), Progressive Philip La Follette (1938), and Republican Julius Heil (1942). One died in office before having the opportunity to win a third contest (GOPer Walter Goodland in 1947) while another resigned beforehand (Democrat Patrick Lucey in 1977 to become Ambassador to Mexico). Overall Wisconsin gubernatorial incumbents have won 35 of 47 general election contests, or 74.5 percent of the time.


more POLITICAL CRUMBS

Humphrey School Sites
CSPG
Humphrey New Media Hub

Issues />

<div id=
Abortion
Afghanistan
Budget and taxes
Campaign finances
Crime and punishment
Economy and jobs
Education
Energy
Environment
Foreign affairs
Gender
Health
Housing
Ideology
Immigration
Iraq
Media
Military
Partisanship
Race and ethnicity
Reapportionment
Redistricting
Religion
Sexuality
Sports
Terrorism
Third parties
Transportation
Voting