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Smart Politics
 


April 2014


Foley vs Malloy II? A History of Connecticut Gubernatorial Rematches

It has been 72 years since the last time a gubernatorial candidate was victorious in a rematch election in the Nutmeg State; only two have had the opportunity since.

Cutler vs LePage II: A History of Maine Gubernatorial Rematches

Second place gubernatorial candidates have had 21 rematch opportunities in Maine history, but none since 1930; only five have won with the last coming in 1852.

Historic Gubernatorial Rematch Looming in Colorado

Tom Tancredo must first survive a competitive GOP primary; if he does he'll get the first crack at a gubernatorial rematch in Rocky Mountain State history.

Could Terry Branstad Lose?

Sitting Republican governors have won reelection 90 percent of the time they have appeared on the general election ballot in the Hawkeye State.

Which 1-Term US Senator Will Fall in 2014?

First-term Senators account for more than half of all defeated incumbents over the last century; at least one 1-term U.S. Senator has lost reelection in all but four of the 50 election cycles in the direct election era.

Seven Is Enough: The Packed GOP Field to Replace Tom Coburn

Seven candidates may seem like a handful, but it's only half the number of Republicans who ran for the Sooner State's U.S. Senate seat in 1920.

Will Kathleen Sebelius Seek a Rare Political Trifecta?

Sebelius could become the first woman to serve as governor, U.S. Senator, and cabinet head, and just the ninth individual to do so during the last 100+ years.

Wisconsin US House Delegation Experience, 1848-2014

Sign of the times: 23 of the Top 25 most experienced delegations from the Badger State have been elected over the last 50 years.

Iowa Republicans Surrender Record Number of State House Seats in 2014

Iowa Republicans failed to field candidates in a party record 32 State House districts this cycle - shattering the previous GOP high water mark by 39 percent.

Can Democrats Knock Out Kasich in Ohio?

The 40 percent rate at which Ohio Democrats have won the governorship with a Democrat in the White House over the last century is good for third best in the Midwest - but it hasn't happened since 1952.

The Shortest Tenures of Louisiana US Reps in History

Vance McAllister's political half-life may be running out, but he won't quite have the briefest stint in the U.S. House from the Pelican State - that would be Effingham Lawrence at just one day.

Vance McAllister: In His Own Words

If Rep. McAllister does not resign, his 2014 opponents will have a treasure trove of statements from the congressman saying one thing and doing another.

Tom Petri to Face Rare Republican Challenger in 2014

The fourth longest-serving U.S. Representative in Wisconsin history has faced only two primary challengers during his 17 previous reelection bids.

Will Montana Split Its Congressional Ballot Again in 2014?

Only two of 27 states have split their vote for U.S. Senate and at-large U.S. House seats in a majority of elections over the last century: Montana (78 percent of the time) and South Dakota (60 percent).

The Quotable Jim Sensenbrenner

One of Capitol Hill's most outspoken critics of the mass data collection undertaken by the last two presidential administrations shares his thoughts on fear-mongering, Edward Snowden, and the long winter of 2014.

Which States Are Bellwethers for Partisan Control of the US Senate?

Two states - Rhode Island and Nevada - have elected U.S. Senators into the majority party of the subsequent Congress 75+ percent of the time over the last 100 years; Virginia has done so in each of the last six elections.