Go to HHH home page.
Smart Politics
 


Governorships


Will Burke vs Walker Be an Election for the Ages?

It's a tall order: more than half of Wisconsin's elections for governor have been decided by single digits in state history, including more than 20 percent by less than four points.

Will New Hampshire Split Its Gubernatorial and US Senate Vote in 2014?

Electing a Democratic governor and a Republican U.S. Senator has been a common practice in the Granite State over the last half-century.

Could Paul LePage Become the First 30/30 Governor in History?

No popularly elected governor has ever been victorious with less than 40 percent of the vote in back-to-back elections.

Will Wisconsin's Tight Gubernatorial Race Impact Its US House Contests?

A study of 55 election cycles finds evidence that Badger State congressional races are more competitive when gubernatorial elections are close.

Can Dayton, Franken Both Win By Double-Digits in 2014?

The DFL/Democratic parties have won Minnesota gubernatorial and U.S. Senate contests in the same cycle in just three out of 25 elections and never by double-digits in both.

Jack Hatch to Iowa: Vote Like It's 1948?

A symbolic button worn by Iowa's underdog gubernatorial challenger evokes Truman's historic comeback...and an otherwise disastrous cycle for Iowa's Democratic Party.

The 10 Percent Club: 2014 Gubernatorial Edition

At least four third party, independent, or write-in gubernatorial candidates have won 10+ percent of the vote in every midterm election since the 1986 cycle - a trend likely to continue this November.

Wisconsin Gubernatorial Pathways: How Does Burke's Measure Up?

Eleven of the last 12 Badger State governors were previously elected to state government dating back to the mid-1950s.

Johnson vs Dayton: Out with the Old, In with the Young?

Dayton bucked history in 2010: the younger Minnesota gubernatorial nominee has been victorious at more than twice the rate as the older nominee since statehood.

Will a New Female Governor Be Elected in 2014?

Up to five female major party nominees will be on the ballot this November attempting to win their first gubernatorial election.

A Brief History of Ex-Governors Returning to Power

Nearly 150 ex-governors in U.S. history have returned to their position after a gap in service; five have done so after changing parties since 1900 with Charlie Crist of Florida hoping to be the sixth in 2014.

Arizona Republican Gubernatorial Primary Election Results By the Numbers

Doug Ducey advances while flirting with the lowest support ever recorded for a GOP gubernatorial nominee in the most crowded Republican field since statehood.

Which States Have the Highest Gubernatorial Reelection Rates?

Six states have not seen a governor lose a reelection bid over the last half century with Vermont and Connecticut boasting the most impressive incumbency advantage resum├ęs.

Wyoming Primary Election Results By the Numbers

Enzi continues the perfect renomination streak of Wyoming U.S. Senators - 28 for 28 since the first primary contest 1916; Lummis extends renomination streak by Cowboy State U.S. Representatives to 19 in a row since 1972.

Hawaii Primary Roundup

Neil Abercrombie is the first Hawaii governor to lose a renomination bid while Brian Schatz avoided becoming the first Aloha State U.S. Senator to do so.

Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primary Roundup

The Minnesota Republican gubernatorial primary was the most competitive race since 1924 and the first ever to see four candidates reach the 20 percent mark.

Will Iowa, Minnesota, and Wisconsin Provide Any Drama in 2014's Gubernatorial Races?

Gubernatorial elections have been decided by single digits over the last four elections in just four states - three are in the Upper Midwest: Iowa, Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Rhode Island.

A Blue Wave Crashing Red Rocks: Kansas' Head-Turning 2014 Gubernatorial Race

Democrats have won the governor's mansion in Kansas with a Republican president in the White House at more than twice the rate as compared to a member of their own party.

Could Dayton Be the Lone Democratic Victor in 2014 Midwestern Gubernatorial Races?

At least one other Midwestern state has voted a Democrat into office each of the 15 times Minnesotans have elected a Democratic governor since statehood.

South Dakota Democrats Field 4th All-Female Gubernatorial Ticket in US History

Only three previous major party gubernatorial tickets in history had female nominees for both governor and lieutenant governor; none have reached 40 percent.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11  


Political Crumbs

Gubernatorial Highs and Lows

Two sitting governors currently hold the record for the highest gubernatorial vote ever received in their respective states by a non-incumbent: Republican Matt Mead of Wyoming (65.7 percent in 2010) and outgoing GOPer Dave Heineman of Nebraska (73.4 percent in 2006). Republican Gary Herbert of Utah had not previously won a gubernatorial contest when he notched a state record 64.1 percent for his first victory in 2010, but was an incumbent at the time after ascending to the position in 2009 after the early departure of Jon Huntsman. Meanwhile, two sitting governors hold the record in their states for the lowest mark ever recorded by a winning gubernatorial candidate (incumbent or otherwise): independent-turned-Democrat Lincoln Chafee of Rhode Island (36.1 percent in 2010) and Democrat Terry McAuliffe of Virginia (47.8 percent in 2013).


An Idaho Six Pack

Two-term Idaho Republican Governor Butch Otter only polled at 39 percent in a recent PPP survey of the state's 2014 race - just four points ahead of Democratic businessman A.J. Balukoff. Otter's low numbers reflect his own struggles as a candidate (witness his weak primary win against State Senator Russ Fulcher) combined with the opportunity for disgruntled Idahoans to cast their votes for one of four third party and independent candidates, who collectively received the support of 12 percent of likely voters: Libertarian John Bujak, the Constitution Party's Steve Pankey, and independents Jill Humble and Pro-Life (aka Marvin Richardson). The six candidate options in a gubernatorial race sets an all-time record in the Gem State across the 46 elections conducted since statehood. The previous high water mark of five candidates was reached in seven previous cycles: 1902, 1904, 1908, 1912, 1914, 1966, and 2010.


more POLITICAL CRUMBS

Humphrey School Sites
CSPG
Humphrey New Media Hub

Issues />

<div id=
Abortion
Afghanistan
Budget and taxes
Campaign finances
Crime and punishment
Economy and jobs
Education
Energy
Environment
Foreign affairs
Gender
Health
Housing
Ideology
Immigration
Iraq
Media
Military
Partisanship
Race and ethnicity
Reapportionment
Redistricting
Religion
Sexuality
Sports
Terrorism
Third parties
Transportation
Voting