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Governorships


Will Iowa, Minnesota, and Wisconsin Provide Any Drama in 2014's Gubernatorial Races?

Gubernatorial elections have been decided by single digits over the last four elections in just four states - three are in the Upper Midwest: Iowa, Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Rhode Island.

A Blue Wave Crashing Red Rocks: Kansas' Head-Turning 2014 Gubernatorial Race

Democrats have won the governor's mansion in Kansas with a Republican president in the White House at more than twice the rate as compared to a member of their own party.

Could Dayton Be the Lone Democratic Victor in 2014 Midwestern Gubernatorial Races?

At least one other Midwestern state has voted a Democrat into office each of the 15 times Minnesotans have elected a Democratic governor since statehood.

South Dakota Democrats Field 4th All-Female Gubernatorial Ticket in US History

Only three previous major party gubernatorial tickets in history had female nominees for both governor and lieutenant governor; none have reached 40 percent.

Rounds Rolls in South Dakota GOP US Senate Primary

Despite facing a field that was tied for the largest in party history, Mike Rounds notched the sixth biggest victory margin in a contested Republican South Dakota U.S. Senate primary.

Tom's Club: Pennsylvania's Popular Gubernatorial Name

Pennsylvania has been governed by a "Tom" or "Thomas" for nearly 31 years collectively since statehood - more than any other name - and will add to that total in 2015.

Will Michigan Split Its Ticket This November?

In one out of every three cycles for the past century the Wolverine State has split its vote for governor and U.S. Senator.

Allyson Schwartz Could Set Pennsylvania Democratic Record Even With Loss

No female Democratic candidate for governor in Pennsylvania has eclipsed the 20 percent mark in a primary to date; only seven of 165 Democratic and GOP primary candidates in state history have been women.

Ricketts Wins Nebraska GOP Gubernatorial Nod with Lowest Support in State History

A historically competitive primary field finds Ricketts emerging with the lowest winning percentage and third narrowest victory margin on record in a Cornhusker State GOP gubernatorial race.

Will Obama Save Pat Quinn in 2014? Low Drag in Presidents' Home States

Eighty percent of gubernatorial nominees from the sitting president's party have been victorious in his home state over the last century.

Foley vs Malloy II? A History of Connecticut Gubernatorial Rematches

It has been 72 years since the last time a gubernatorial candidate was victorious in a rematch election in the Nutmeg State; only two have had the opportunity since.

Cutler vs LePage II: A History of Maine Gubernatorial Rematches

Second place gubernatorial candidates have had 21 rematch opportunities in Maine history, but none since 1930; only five have won with the last coming in 1852.

Historic Gubernatorial Rematch Looming in Colorado

Tom Tancredo must first survive a competitive GOP primary; if he does he'll get the first crack at a gubernatorial rematch in Rocky Mountain State history.

Could Terry Branstad Lose?

Sitting Republican governors have won reelection 90 percent of the time they have appeared on the general election ballot in the Hawkeye State.

Will Kathleen Sebelius Seek a Rare Political Trifecta?

Sebelius could become the first woman to serve as governor, U.S. Senator, and cabinet head, and just the ninth individual to do so during the last 100+ years.

Can Democrats Knock Out Kasich in Ohio?

The 40 percent rate at which Ohio Democrats have won the governorship with a Democrat in the White House over the last century is good for third best in the Midwest - but it hasn't happened since 1952.

Could Republicans Sweep All 9 Midwestern Gubernatorial Elections in 2014?

It has only happened one time in the last 90+ years, but the political climate just might allow the GOP to claim all nine Midwestern governorships on the ballot this November.

Illinois Gubernatorial Primary Wrap-Up

Bruce Rauner becomes the 13th plurality winner in an Illinois gubernatorial primary election in state history; five have gone on to win the general election.

One Strike and You're Out? Bill Brady's Impossible Dream

No losing Illinois gubernatorial nominee has come back to win the governor's race in state history and only two have made it back onto the general election ballot.

The Elusive Republican Majority

Republican gubernatorial nominees in one state have failed to win a majority of the vote in more than 50 years.

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Political Crumbs

The Second Time Around

Former Republican Congressman Bob Beauprez became the seventh major party or second place gubernatorial candidate in Colorado to get a second chance at the office when he narrowly won his party's nomination last month. Two of the previous six candidates were successful. Democrat Alva Adams lost his first gubernatorial bid to Benjamin Eaton in 1884, but was victorious two years later against William Meyer. Democrat Charles Johnson placed third in 1894 behind Republican Albert McIntyre and Populist incumbent Governor David Waite but returned as the Fusion (Democrat/Populist) nominee in 1898 and defeated GOPer Henry Wolcott. Gubernatorial candidates who received a second chance but lost both general elections include Democrat Thomas Patterson (1888, 1914), Progressive Edward Costigan (1912, 1914), Republican Donald Brotzman (1954, 1956), and Republican David Strickland (1978, 1986).


How Are the Plurality Winners Doing?

Nearly 40 percent of plurality winners of U.S. Senate elections lose their seat in the next election cycle. Will that happen to any of the three such incumbents on the ballot in 2014? Recent polling suggests Democrats Al Franken of Minnesota, Mark Begich of Alaska, and Jeff Merkley of Oregon all currently have an advantage over their nominated/frontrunning GOP opponents, but each is flirting with plurality support once again. Franken led endorsed GOPer Mike McFadden 48 to 42 percent in a new SurveyUSA poll while the polling group showed Merkley with a 50 to 32 percent advantage over Monica Wehby. Begich led each of the three major GOP candidates in last month's PPP survey: 42 to 37 percent over Daniel Sullivan, 41 to 33 percent over Mead Treadwell, and 43 to 27 percent over Joe Miller.


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