Go to HHH home page.
Smart Politics
 


Presidency


Which States Own the Best Track Record in Backing Eventual GOP Presidential Nominees?

Nine states (each with primaries) have an unblemished record in voting for the eventual Republican nominee since 1976 - and not all host contests on the back end of the calendar.

Will Rubio or Bush Emerge As the Strongest Florida Presidential Candidate in History?

Only a handful of Floridians have run for president since statehood 170 years ago - few made even the slightest footprint.

50 US Senators Who Ran for President Since 1972

Sitting or former U.S. Senators from 31 states ran for president more than 60 times from 1972 to 2012 with only one winning the White House; more than a half-dozen are gearing up to run in 2016.

Rand Paul and a History of Kentucky Presidential Candidates

Kentucky-based politicians have run for president and failed more than a dozen times since statehood; none have ever won a presidential primary and none have received convention votes since 1952.

Which Elector-Rich States Will Flip in 2016's Presidential Race?

Since 1832, at least one state with 10+ Electoral College votes has flipped from the previous cycle in 44 of 46 elections; an average of 5.5 such elector-rich states have flipped per cycle.

A Brief History of Presidential Airports

There are over two-dozen airports named for 15 different U.S. presidents totaling more than 250,000 miles of runway.

Ted Cruz and a Brief History of Texas Presidential Candidates

With Cruz's 2016 candidacy, at least one major party or notable independent Texas candidate has (at least briefly) run for president in 14 of the last 16 election cycles.

Would Mike Pence Be Jumping the Gun in White House Bid?

Abraham Lincoln was the last president to attempt and never win a majority of the vote in a statewide race prior to winning the White House.

Slam Dunk: Will 36 Record Presidential Winning Streaks Continue in 2016?

Three-dozen states are currently in the midst of their longest Democratic or Republican presidential winning streaks.

Presidential Winning Streaks in Minnesota and Virginia

Meet the only two states that have backed both Republican and Democratic presidential nominees in at least 10 consecutive cycles since statehood (though in different eras).

Presidents' Day Special: It's A Good Time to Be An Ex-President

The nation has had four living ex-presidents for the last six-plus years for just the second time in history; the current gap of eight-plus years in presidential deaths is the ninth longest on record.

Which States Are Likely to Split Their Presidential-US Senate Vote in 2016?

States have split their ballot only 29 percent of the time in presidential and U.S. Senate elections over the last century; 6% in NC, 11% in WI and 16% in IL (key 2016 battlegrounds).

Could Scott Walker Become Wisconsin's Strongest Presidential Candidate in History?

No Wisconsin presidential candidate has won more than two primaries or more than 41 delegates at a major party's national convention.

Lindsey Graham and a Brief History of South Carolina Presidential Candidates

On more than a dozen attempts, South Carolinian presidential candidates have withdrawn before their party's convention, failed to win their party's nomination, or fallen short in the Electoral College vote.

Which 16 States Have Never Been on Michelle Obama's SOTU Guest List?

More than 135 guests have appeared with the First Lady since the president's first SOTU speech in 2010, but none from 16 states.

Mitt Romney's Rocky Historical Pathway to the Presidency

Only a handful of failed presidential nominees ran again and won the presidency - all in their second bid.

Did Jeb Bush Wait Too Long to Run for President?

It has been 150+ years since the last time there was a 14-year gap between a presidential candidate's last legislative or executive office electoral victory and a successful White House campaign.

Ashton Carter Would Become 7th Defense Secretary Without Military Service

Three in 10 defense secretaries never served in the uniformed military including five of the last 13.

Is There a Presidential Drag On Gubernatorial Elections?

Only five of the 20 presidents to serve since 1900 have seen their party win a majority of gubernatorial elections during their administrations, and only one since JFK.

Holder Could Still Reach #3 Attorney General Tenure Mark

If his successor is not confirmed by December 5th, Holder will pass Homer Cummings for third place on the all-time tenure list.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17  


Political Crumbs

73 Months and Counting

January's preliminary Bureau of Labor Statistics numbers show Minnesota's unemployment rate of 3.7 percent was once again lower than Wisconsin's 5.0 percent. That marks the 73rd consecutive month in which Minnesota has boasted a lower jobless rate than its neighbor to the east dating back to January 2009 including each of the last 67 months by at least one point. The Gopher State has now edged Wisconsin in the employment border battle for 204 of the last 216 months dating back to February 1997. Wisconsin only managed a lower unemployment rate than Minnesota for the 12 months of 2008 during this 18-year span.


Two Dakotas, One Voice?

For each of the last 24 presidential elections since 1920, North and South Dakota have voted in unison - casting their ballots for the same nominee. For 21 of these cycles (including each of the last 12 since 1968) Republicans carried the Dakotas with just three cycles going to the Democrats (1932, 1936, and 1964). This streak stands in contrast to the first few decades after statehood when North and South Dakota supported different nominees in four of the first seven cycles. North Dakota narrowly backed Populist James Weaver in 1892 while South Dakota voted for incumbent Republican Benjamin Harrison. In 1896, it was North Dakota backing GOPer William McKinley while South Dakota supported Democrat William Jennings Bryan by less than 200 votes. North Dakota voted Democratic in 1912 and 1916 supporting Woodrow Wilson while South Dakota cast its Electoral College votes for Progressive Teddy Roosevelt and Republican Charles Hughes respectively.


more POLITICAL CRUMBS

Humphrey School Sites
CSPG
Humphrey New Media Hub

Issues />

<div id=
Abortion
Afghanistan
Budget and taxes
Campaign finances
Crime and punishment
Economy and jobs
Education
Energy
Environment
Foreign affairs
Gender
Health
Housing
Ideology
Immigration
Iraq
Media
Military
Partisanship
Race and ethnicity
Reapportionment
Redistricting
Religion
Sexuality
Sports
Terrorism
Third parties
Transportation
Voting