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Presidency


Carson, Fiorina and a Review of 'Political Outsider' Presidential Candidates

Aside from a handful of war heroes, presidential candidates who have never previously held political office have a very thin record of success.

Why Clinton vs. Bush Would Be a Very, Very Unique Presidential Matchup

It has been nearly 120 years since the last time both major parties nominated candidates who were not currently serving in elected or appointed political office.

Bernie Sanders Becomes 5th Presidential Candidate in Vermont History

Can the Vermont U.S. Senator eclipse George Edmunds and Howard Dean as the strongest ever Green Mountain State presidential hopeful?

Which States Own the Best Track Record in Backing Eventual GOP Presidential Nominees?

Nine states (each with primaries) have an unblemished record in voting for the eventual Republican nominee since 1976 - and not all host contests on the back end of the calendar.

Will Rubio or Bush Emerge As the Strongest Florida Presidential Candidate in History?

Only a handful of Floridians have run for president since statehood 170 years ago - few made even the slightest footprint.

50 US Senators Who Ran for President Since 1972

Sitting or former U.S. Senators from 31 states ran for president more than 60 times from 1972 to 2012 with only one winning the White House; more than a half-dozen are gearing up to run in 2016.

Rand Paul and a History of Kentucky Presidential Candidates

Kentucky-based politicians have run for president and failed more than a dozen times since statehood; none have ever won a presidential primary and none have received convention votes since 1952.

Which Elector-Rich States Will Flip in 2016's Presidential Race?

Since 1832, at least one state with 10+ Electoral College votes has flipped from the previous cycle in 44 of 46 elections; an average of 5.5 such elector-rich states have flipped per cycle.

A Brief History of Presidential Airports

There are over two-dozen airports named for 15 different U.S. presidents totaling more than 250,000 miles of runway.

Ted Cruz and a Brief History of Texas Presidential Candidates

With Cruz's 2016 candidacy, at least one major party or notable independent Texas candidate has (at least briefly) run for president in 14 of the last 16 election cycles.

Would Mike Pence Be Jumping the Gun in White House Bid?

Abraham Lincoln was the last president to attempt and never win a majority of the vote in a statewide race prior to winning the White House.

Slam Dunk: Will 36 Record Presidential Winning Streaks Continue in 2016?

Three-dozen states are currently in the midst of their longest Democratic or Republican presidential winning streaks.

Presidential Winning Streaks in Minnesota and Virginia

Meet the only two states that have backed both Republican and Democratic presidential nominees in at least 10 consecutive cycles since statehood (though in different eras).

Presidents' Day Special: It's A Good Time to Be An Ex-President

The nation has had four living ex-presidents for the last six-plus years for just the second time in history; the current gap of eight-plus years in presidential deaths is the ninth longest on record.

Which States Are Likely to Split Their Presidential-US Senate Vote in 2016?

States have split their ballot only 29 percent of the time in presidential and U.S. Senate elections over the last century; 6% in NC, 11% in WI and 16% in IL (key 2016 battlegrounds).

Could Scott Walker Become Wisconsin's Strongest Presidential Candidate in History?

No Wisconsin presidential candidate has won more than two primaries or more than 41 delegates at a major party's national convention.

Lindsey Graham and a Brief History of South Carolina Presidential Candidates

On more than a dozen attempts, South Carolinian presidential candidates have withdrawn before their party's convention, failed to win their party's nomination, or fallen short in the Electoral College vote.

Which 16 States Have Never Been on Michelle Obama's SOTU Guest List?

More than 135 guests have appeared with the First Lady since the president's first SOTU speech in 2010, but none from 16 states.

Mitt Romney's Rocky Historical Pathway to the Presidency

Only a handful of failed presidential nominees ran again and won the presidency - all in their second bid.

Did Jeb Bush Wait Too Long to Run for President?

It has been 150+ years since the last time there was a 14-year gap between a presidential candidate's last legislative or executive office electoral victory and a successful White House campaign.

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Political Crumbs

Evolving?

When Scott Walker "punted" back in February after being asked if he was comfortable with the idea of evolution he added, "That's a question a politician shouldn't be involved in one way or the other." However, it may very well be a question that is asked at one of the upcoming GOP debates this year. In South Carolina during the first GOP debate in 2012, FOX News' Juan Williams asked Tim Pawlenty, "Do you equate the teaching of creationism with the teaching of evolution as the basis for what should be taught for our nation's schools?" Pawlenty replied, "There should be room in the curriculum for study of intelligent design" but that it was up to the local school districts if it should be in a science class or comparative theory class. At the fourth Republican debate held in California, Jon Huntsman addressed the GOP becoming "anti-science" thusly: "Listen, when you make comments that fly in the face of what 98 out of 100 climate scientists have said, when you call into question the science of evolution, all I'm saying is that, in order for the Republican Party to win, we can't run from science. We can't run from mainstream conservative philosophy."


73 Months and Counting

January's preliminary Bureau of Labor Statistics numbers show Minnesota's unemployment rate of 3.7 percent was once again lower than Wisconsin's 5.0 percent. That marks the 73rd consecutive month in which Minnesota has boasted a lower jobless rate than its neighbor to the east dating back to January 2009 including each of the last 67 months by at least one point. The Gopher State has now edged Wisconsin in the employment border battle for 204 of the last 216 months dating back to February 1997. Wisconsin only managed a lower unemployment rate than Minnesota for the 12 months of 2008 during this 18-year span.


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