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U.S. Senate


Georgia Republican US Senate Primary Runoff By the Numbers

Turnout dropped only 20 percent from May's runoff in the second closest U.S. Senate primary runoff in Georgia history.

Which States Have the Most Undecided Voters in 2014 US Senate Races?

Open seat races in Michigan and Iowa have led the way with the highest percentage of undecided voters in 2014 polling among the 16 states with key U.S. Senate contests.

Patriotic Exits? 35 Members of Congress Who Died on July 4th

Four members of the U.S. House died on Independence Day while in office; North Carolina and Pennsylvania delegations have had the most pass on the 4th of July.

Which US Senate Seats Will Flip in 2014? A Survey of Media Rankings

Media election forecasters can only agree on one slot of the Top 12 U.S. Senate seats most likely to change control after the November elections.

Inhofe Eyes Record-Breaking Election Win in 2014

The senior senator from Oklahoma is looking to win a record fifth U.S. Senate election this fall and would become the longest-serving member in the chamber from the Sooner State mid-way through his next term.

Republican US Senators Hitting Historic Lows in Primaries

Four Republicans have already set state records for low water marks by a sitting GOP U.S. Senator in a primary election - after just eight contests

Lindsey Graham Gets Into the Record Books

The two-term incumbent sets a new low water mark in primary voter support for a Republican U.S. Senator from South Carolina.

Lindsey Graham and the Half-Dozen Would-Be Kingslayers

No U.S. Senator in South Carolina history has inspired so many primary challengers as the two-term Republican incumbent this cycle.

Ernst Surges After History-Making Primary Win

Ernst is in a dead heat with Bruce Braley on the heels of setting the mark for the largest victory by a non-incumbent in a contested Iowa Republican U.S. Senate primary.

McDaniel vs Cochran 2nd Most Competitive US Senate Primary in Mississippi History

The 2014 Mississippi Republican U.S. Senate primary is one of just two in state history decided by less than one point by either party.

Ernst Eyes Outright Primary Victory in Iowa GOP US Senate Race

Only one out of 68 Democratic and Republican U.S. Senate primaries has gone to a special nominating convention in Hawkeye State history.

Will Michigan Split Its Ticket This November?

In one out of every three cycles for the past century the Wolverine State has split its vote for governor and U.S. Senator.

Is a Rough Road Ahead for David Perdue?

Only one of eight run-off bound first place primary finishers in a Georgia U.S. Senate race went on to win the seat; Perdue is also coming off the lowest ever first place finish by either party in Georgia U.S. Senate primary history.

McConnell Records Weakest Kentucky US Senate Incumbent Primary Victory in 75+ Years

McConnell wins the lowest percentage of the primary vote among the last 22 Kentucky U.S. Senators vying for a renomination bid dating back to 1938.

Will the Number of Female US Senators Drop After 2014?

The number of women in the chamber has remained stable or increased in every cycle since the late 1970s.

North Carolina GOP Eyes 2nd Ever US Senate Primary Runoff

A record number of GOP U.S. Senate candidates could drag Thom Tillis into the party's second runoff in history; the last five North Carolina Democratic and GOP run-off victors lost the general election.

Crowded 2014 South Dakota US Senate Field Ties State Records

This cycle finds the Mount Rushmore State equaling historical marks for the most U.S. Senate candidates qualifying for the ballot as well as the most Republicans (or candidates from any party) in a primary race.

Choices, Choices: South Dakota Voters Get Rare Options in 2014 US Senate Race

It has been more than 80 years since South Dakotans had so many candidates from which to choose in a U.S. Senate election.

Which 1-Term US Senator Will Fall in 2014?

First-term Senators account for more than half of all defeated incumbents over the last century; at least one 1-term U.S. Senator has lost reelection in all but four of the 50 election cycles in the direct election era.

Will Kathleen Sebelius Seek a Rare Political Trifecta?

Sebelius could become the first woman to serve as governor, U.S. Senator, and cabinet head, and just the ninth individual to do so during the last 100+ years.

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Political Crumbs

The Second Time Around

Former Republican Congressman Bob Beauprez became the seventh major party or second place gubernatorial candidate in Colorado to get a second chance at the office when he narrowly won his party's nomination last month. Two of the previous six candidates were successful. Democrat Alva Adams lost his first gubernatorial bid to Benjamin Eaton in 1884, but was victorious two years later against William Meyer. Democrat Charles Johnson placed third in 1894 behind Republican Albert McIntyre and Populist incumbent Governor David Waite but returned as the Fusion (Democrat/Populist) nominee in 1898 and defeated GOPer Henry Wolcott. Gubernatorial candidates who received a second chance but lost both general elections include Democrat Thomas Patterson (1888, 1914), Progressive Edward Costigan (1912, 1914), Republican Donald Brotzman (1954, 1956), and Republican David Strickland (1978, 1986).


How Are the Plurality Winners Doing?

Nearly 40 percent of plurality winners of U.S. Senate elections lose their seat in the next election cycle. Will that happen to any of the three such incumbents on the ballot in 2014? Recent polling suggests Democrats Al Franken of Minnesota, Mark Begich of Alaska, and Jeff Merkley of Oregon all currently have an advantage over their nominated/frontrunning GOP opponents, but each is flirting with plurality support once again. Franken led endorsed GOPer Mike McFadden 48 to 42 percent in a new SurveyUSA poll while the polling group showed Merkley with a 50 to 32 percent advantage over Monica Wehby. Begich led each of the three major GOP candidates in last month's PPP survey: 42 to 37 percent over Daniel Sullivan, 41 to 33 percent over Mead Treadwell, and 43 to 27 percent over Joe Miller.


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