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Florida


Will Overby's Candidacy Ignite Florida Libertarians in 2014?

Overby is just the fifth candidate to appear on the ballot as a Libertarian in a Florida U.S. House race.

Advantage Sink? Women Win US House Specials at More Than 2x Rate of General Elections

Since 1980, women have won nearly a quarter of the nation's 141 U.S. House special elections (and 58 percent of contests featuring only one female major party nominee), compared to just 11 percent of general election races.

12 Retiring, Ex-, or Deceased Congressmen with Active Campaign Websites

One announced his retirement last September. Another died in October. One resigned last week. A dozen members of Congress that aren't running for reelection still have active campaign websites - that accept financial donations.

Radel Resigns with 2nd Shortest US House Tenure in Florida History

The only other Floridian with a shorter stint in the U.S. House served 141 years ago after successfully contesting the state's at-large Election of 1870.

Return of the King: Charlie Crist and Ex-Governor Comebacks

More than half of ex-governors have been victorious in general election bids to return to their old seats since 1945.

Plurality Blues: Governors on the Hot Seat

Since 1900, less than half of plurality-winning governors who were eligible for another term were reelected to their seat in the next cycle.

It's All Relative: Florida US Representatives Edition

11 percent of Florida's U.S. Representatives in history had family members who previously served in Congress.

Claude Pepper, Dwight Rogers Only Florida US Reps to Die in Office

Reports of Bill Young's death on Thursday were premature; 72 of the state's 132 U.S. House members in history are still alive.

Can Alex Sink Pull a Jeb Bush?

Only one losing Florida gubernatorial candidate has come back to win the governorship in a subsequent campaign over the last 145+ years.

Charlie Crist: There and Back Again?

Crist, the first Florida governor not to run for reelection since 1964, could become just the second governor of the Sunshine State to win nonconsecutive terms.

Getting the Word Out: House Democrats Outhustling GOPers at Press Release Game

House Democrats release 31 percent more press statements per member than Republicans; GOPer Illeana Ros-Lehtinen ranks #1 but Democrats hold 11 of the Top 15 spots.

Record Book Near Misses in the 2012 Presidential Election

The Romney-Obama contest ranked among the Top 5 most competitive races ever in three states (AK, FL, NC) and the Top 5 least competitive in six (HI, MD, OK, UT, WV, WY).

Death of the Battlegrounds? The 2012 Election in History

The 2012 presidential election is the only cycle since the birth of the two-party system in 1828 to be decided by less than 15 points nationally and yet have less than 10 percent of its contests decided by fewer than five points.

All-Republican US Senate Delegation Wait Continues in Florida, Wisconsin, North Dakota

The three states have not been represented by two Republicans in the U.S. Senate for a combined 244 years and counting.

Final Battleground Maps: 114 Electoral Votes Up for Grabs

A dozen media outlets still yield 10 different battleground state maps less than a week from Election Day, with an average of nine states and 114 electoral votes hanging in the balance.

Less than 1% of Voting Eligible Population Polled in Battleground States This Cycle

After more than 640 polls, 531,000 individuals have been surveyed this cycle about the Romney-Obama horserace across the 57.3 million voting eligible population of the 10 main battleground states.

Battleground States Revisited: The Maps They Are A-Changin'

Two-thirds of battleground state maps have changed over the past month, yielding 10 different maps across 12 different media outlets.

RNC: No Rick Scott, No Problem

National political conventions have been frequently held in states in which the sitting governor does not attend (though usually a governor from the opposing party).

Will the Real Battleground States Please Stand Up?

An analysis of major media outlets' election projection maps finds few can agree on a definitive list of toss-up states in the 2012 presidential race.

McCain, Rubio, GOP Dominate Broadcast Media Coverage of US Senators in 2012

Republican senators are mentioned in more than twice as many news stories as their Democratic counterparts with John McCain and Marco Rubio leading the GOP to eight of the Top 10 slots.

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Political Crumbs

Final Four Has Presidential Approval

By edging Michigan in the final seconds Sunday, the University of Kentucky guaranteed that one school in the Final Four this year would be located in a state that was not carried by President Barack Obama in 2012. (Connecticut, Florida, and Wisconsin had previously earned Final Four slots over the weekend). Across the 76 Final Fours since 1939, an average of 3.1 schools have been located in states won by the president's ticket during the previous election cycle. All four schools have come from states won by the president 29 times, with the most recent being the 2009 Final Four featuring Connecticut, Michigan State, North Carolina, and Villanova. On 30 occasions three Final Four schools have been located in states won by the president, with two schools 11 times and only one school six times (the most recent being 2012 with Kansas, Kentucky, Louisville, and Ohio State). There has never been a Men's NCAA Division I Final Four in which no schools were located in states carried by the president's ticket.


Three for the Road

A new Rasmussen Poll shows Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker in a dead heat with likely 2014 Democratic nominee Mary Burke. Walker is seeking to win his third consecutive election after prevailing in 2012's recall contest. Eight of his predecessors accomplished this feat: Republicans Lucius Fairchild (in 1869), Jeremiah Rusk (1886), Robert La Follette (1904), Emanuel Philipp (1918), John Blaine (1924), Walter Kohler (1954), Warren Knowles (1968), and Tommy Thompson (1994). Three others Badger State governors lost on their third campaign: Democrat George Peck (1894), Progressive Philip La Follette (1938), and Republican Julius Heil (1942). One died in office before having the opportunity to win a third contest (GOPer Walter Goodland in 1947) while another resigned beforehand (Democrat Patrick Lucey in 1977 to become Ambassador to Mexico). Overall Wisconsin gubernatorial incumbents have won 35 of 47 general election contests, or 74.5 percent of the time.


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