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Kentucky


Mitch McConnell: Not So Easy Target?

Only one of 14 U.S. Senate Minority Leaders in history have been defeated at the ballot box while no Senate party floor leader has ever lost when his party has netted seats in the chamber.

Do the Numbers Add Up for Mitch McConnell?

McConnell is 1 of just 6 U.S. Senators in history to win three of their first five consecutive terms by single digits. Three subsequently retired. A fourth - Bob Packwood - resigned. The fifth? Harry Reid.

McConnell Bucking History: Kentucky Has Nation's Highest Senator Turnover Rate

The Minority Leader has the longest Senate tenure in Kentucky history, even though the state's two Senate seats have turned over 77 times, or an average of once per 2.8 years - the highest rate in the country.

US Senate Special Elections by the Numbers

Which two states have held seven special elections since 1913? Which two states have yet to hold one? And what Senator was elected via special election three times?

Gubernatorial Scorecard: The Last 10 Elections by State

Democrats have stumbled to their third worst record in the country in Rhode Island but have won 31 of 40 races in Kentucky, Georgia, West Virginia, and Wyoming.

How High Will Rand Paul's Fundraising Skyrocket After Filibuster?

Bernie Sanders' daily fundraising tally increased by 61-fold for the fortnight after his December 10, 2010 eight-and-a-half hour speech.

Which State Will Host the Most Closely Decided Presidential Race in 2012?

Since 1824, Kentucky and Maryland have each hosted the closest statewide presidential contests five times; Ohio last did so in back-to-back cycles in 1944 and 1948.

Romney's Numbers Underwhelm in Final Primary Contests

Romney has carried just three out of 43 states this cycle with 70+ percent of the vote, compared to an average of more than 15 states by previous presumptive GOP nominees.

Williams Records 4th Worst GOP Gubernatorial Tally in Kentucky in 140 Years

David Williams now holds two of the 10 worst showings by a Republican gubernatorial, U.S. Senate, or presidential nominee in Kentucky since 1871.

Kentucky GOP Poised for 2nd Worst Gubernatorial Showing Since 1870

Only once in the last 140 years have Kentucky Republicans failed to win at least one-third of the gubernatorial vote.

House Republican Committee Chairs Enjoy Huge Spike in Fundraising

Collective contributions to 21 GOP House Committee chairs up 93 percent in Q1 2011 from same period in 2009

U.S. Military Service in the U.S. House of Representatives

GOP caucus has 60 percent higher rate of service than Democratic caucus; 17 state delegations have no members with military background

Kentucky, Oregon Wrap Up: Smart Politics Projections Hit the Target

As Barack Obama wrapped up the pledged delegate war several weeks ago, the remaining battle for the democratic nomination had two remaining and interrelated battlefronts: momentum and the popular vote. Hillary Clinton's aim since mid-March has thus not simply been to win states to gain momentum and appear to be...

Live Blog: Kentucky Primary

5:50 p.m. (9% reporting) Clinton = 50% Obama = 46% Over 80 percent of the vote that has reported in is from Jefferson County - home to Louisville - one of the few locales in Kentucky where Obama is expected to do well. 5:55 p.m. (11% reporting) Clinton = 51%...

KY, OR Primary: Live Blog Tonight

Smart Politics will blog live Tuesday night as the primary results from Kentucky and Oregon come in. Smart Politics will pay particular attention to the voter turnout and Clinton victory margin in Kentucky, to determine whether or not she is able to cut Obama's 411,000 margin in half by night's...

Polls in KY, OR: Someone Forgot to Tell the Voters 'It's Over'

Although the media, several prominent Democrats, and even some pollsters (Rasmussen) called the Democratic race 'over' even after Hillary Clinton's 41-point blowout victory in West Virginia, Democratic voters are apparently saying otherwise. Several polls point to 60-plus percent of Democratic voters wanting Hillary Clinton to stay in the race, and...

The Numbers: West Virginia, Kentucky, Oregon and Beyond

While there has been no doubt for more than a month that Barack Obama would win the pledged delegate count in the race for the Democratic nomination, a higher than projected turnout in West Virginia's primary padded Hillary Clinton's victory and thus made a larger dent in her popular vote...

Will West Virignia and Kentucky Make A Difference for Clinton?

Those who have been reading Smart Politics during the past two months should not have been surprised that Hillary Clinton both won the Indiana primary on Tuesday night and also decided to continue her campaign the next day, despite strong pressure by the media, pundits, and some Democratic politicians for...

North Carolina vs. Kentucky: A Snapshot of How Racial and Economic Politics Shape the Democratic Vote

Hillary Clinton is facing one sure roadblock on her way to a clean sweep through the South Dakota and Montana primaries on June 3rd. That state is North Carolina, where Clinton has trailed Barack Obama by double digits in six of nine nonpartisan polls conducted since her wins in Ohio...

Is Kentucky the Next Ohio?

The state of Ohio has been an elusive target for Democrats during the last two presidential elections. The Democratic Party is optimistic about its chances there in 2008, and the 2006 elections points to clear dissatisfaction among the Buckeye State's electorate with the Republican Party. In last November's election: *...



Political Crumbs

Final Four Has Presidential Approval

By edging Michigan in the final seconds Sunday, the University of Kentucky guaranteed that one school in the Final Four this year would be located in a state that was not carried by President Barack Obama in 2012. (Connecticut, Florida, and Wisconsin had previously earned Final Four slots over the weekend). Across the 76 Final Fours since 1939, an average of 3.1 schools have been located in states won by the president's ticket during the previous election cycle. All four schools have come from states won by the president 29 times, with the most recent being the 2009 Final Four featuring Connecticut, Michigan State, North Carolina, and Villanova. On 30 occasions three Final Four schools have been located in states won by the president, with two schools 11 times and only one school six times (the most recent being 2012 with Kansas, Kentucky, Louisville, and Ohio State). There has never been a Men's NCAA Division I Final Four in which no schools were located in states carried by the president's ticket.


Three for the Road

A new Rasmussen Poll shows Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker in a dead heat with likely 2014 Democratic nominee Mary Burke. Walker is seeking to win his third consecutive election after prevailing in 2012's recall contest. Eight of his predecessors accomplished this feat: Republicans Lucius Fairchild (in 1869), Jeremiah Rusk (1886), Robert La Follette (1904), Emanuel Philipp (1918), John Blaine (1924), Walter Kohler (1954), Warren Knowles (1968), and Tommy Thompson (1994). Three others Badger State governors lost on their third campaign: Democrat George Peck (1894), Progressive Philip La Follette (1938), and Republican Julius Heil (1942). One died in office before having the opportunity to win a third contest (GOPer Walter Goodland in 1947) while another resigned beforehand (Democrat Patrick Lucey in 1977 to become Ambassador to Mexico). Overall Wisconsin gubernatorial incumbents have won 35 of 47 general election contests, or 74.5 percent of the time.


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