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Michigan


A State Divided: Will Romney or Santorum Reach 40 Percent in Michigan?

Tuesday's winner could set the all-time state mark for the lowest victory total in a Michigan presidential primary.

Hoekstra Challenge in Michigan U.S. Senate Race Faces Long Historical Odds

It has been over 150 years since an ex-U.S. Representative won a Senate seat in Michigan.

Will Any Century-Long Streaks End in 2012 U.S. Senate Races?

More than a dozen states have never popularly elected a GOP Senator while voting for a Democratic presidential nominee in the same cycle; will any break with tradition in 2012?

McCotter Tries to Buck Michigan's Dismal History of Presidential Campaigns

The Wolverine State has produced more than a dozen presidential candidacies; two resulted in party nominations, but none have been elected to the White House.

House Republican Committee Chairs Enjoy Huge Spike in Fundraising

Collective contributions to 21 GOP House Committee chairs up 93 percent in Q1 2011 from same period in 2009

Which States Have the Longest-Serving U.S. House Delegations?

Alaska, Massachusetts, and Michigan boast the longest average length of service; Democrats average 5+ years more experience than Republicans

John Dingell Escapes with Narrowest Victory of Congressional Career

Democratic Congressman from Michigan not immune from GOP surges during the Republican waves of 1966, 1994, and 2010

Third Party U.S. House Candidates Spike to Largest Midterm Election Mark Since 1934

With an average of more than one candidate per district, it has been over 75 years since this many independent and third party U.S. House candidates appeared on midterm general election ballots

You Say You Want a Revolution? Third Party Gubernatorial Candidates Thriving in 2010

Third party gubernatorial candidates rivaling 1994 for their best showing since the Great Depression

Is Bart Stupak's U.S. House Seat Vulnerable?

Nine-term Democrat has won by more than 32 points in each of the last four election cycles

Democrats Hold Edge Over GOP for Average Years of Service in U.S. House

Despite 30 percent of its caucus elected since 2006, Democrats have served almost 1 more year per member on average than Republicans

Live Blogging: The Michigan Primary

Smart Politics will continue to monitor and update the official Republican primary results tonight in Michigan. These percentages are based on raw vote numbers provided by reported precincts, not a scientific random sample. 7:10 p.m. Early indications are from exit polls that Republican turnout in this open primary is much...

Smart Politics Live Blogging During Michigan Returns

Smart Politics will be blogging live tonight at 7 p.m. CST when most of the polls close in Michigan. Smart Politics will report up-to-the minute election returns as well as provide analysis of not only the results but also the media coverage and pundit spin regarding what the results mean...

Why Michigan Isn't "Do Or Die" for Romney

After John McCain's 5-point victory over Mitt Romney in New Hampshire, pundits and the broadcast media immediately characterized Michigan as a "do or die" state for Romney. A Romney loss to McCain (at the time the predicted winner of Michigan), it was argued, would have three negative effects. First, McCain...

Michigan Decision Likely To Shift Primary Schedule Once Again

Michigan's decision to move its primary to January 15, 2008—a decision signed into law yesterday by Democratic Governor Jennifer Granholm—is sure to have a domino effect on the primary calendar, perhaps moving Iowa's caucuses up to December 2007. New Hampshire was slated to be the nation's first primary on January...



Political Crumbs

Governor vs. Governor vs. Governor

The last election cycle saw five ex-governors attempt to win back their old jobs, with success stories in California (Jerry Brown), Iowa (Terry Branstad), and Oregon (John Kitzhaber). But in 1904, the State of Wisconsin saw three governors on the general election ballot: two-term Republican incumbent Robert La Follette, former two-term Democratic Governor William Peck (elected in 1890 and 1892), and former two-term Republican Governor Edward Scofield (elected in 1896 and 1898). La Follette - with Teddy Roosevelt at the top of the ticket winning the presidency - cruised to an 11.3-point victory over Peck with 50.5 percent of the vote. Scofield ran a distant fourth on the National Republican ticket with just 2.7 percent - also losing to Social Democrat William Arnold who received 5.5 percent, but beating Prohibition and Socialist Labor candidates.


A Vote for No One

More than 50,000 North Carolina residents who voted in the Tuesday's Republican presidential primary opted for 'no preference' on their ballot, or 5.2 percent. That marks the second highest percentage of those who have done so in the 40 years of the modern primary era, behind the 9.8 percent who indicated no preference during George H.W. Bush's rout over Pat Buchanan in the state twenty years ago in 1992. In 2008, 4.0 percent were likewise noncommittal, with 1.7 percent voting no preference in 2000, 3.8 percent in 1996, 1.0 percent in 1988, 2.7 percent in 1980, and 1.7 percent in 1976.


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