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Minnesota


Can Dayton, Franken Both Win By Double-Digits in 2014?

The DFL/Democratic parties have won Minnesota gubernatorial and U.S. Senate contests in the same cycle in just three out of 25 elections and never by double-digits in both.

No Free Passes: States With 2 Major Party Candidates in Every US House Race

Indiana has now placed candidates from both major parties on the ballot in a nation-best 189 consecutive U.S. House races, with New Hampshire, Minnesota, Idaho, and Montana also north of 100 in a row.

Johnson vs Dayton: Out with the Old, In with the Young?

Dayton bucked history in 2010: the younger Minnesota gubernatorial nominee has been victorious at more than twice the rate as the older nominee since statehood.

Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primary Roundup

The Minnesota Republican gubernatorial primary was the most competitive race since 1924 and the first ever to see four candidates reach the 20 percent mark.

The 8th Congressional District: Minnesota's Political Roller Coaster?

If Republicans pick up the 8th CD this November it will be just the sixth time the same Minnesota U.S. House seat has changed partisan control in three consecutive cycles.

Stewart Mills: Youthful, But Not Exactly Young for a Minnesota US Rep

Nearly half of the 134 Gopher State U.S. House members were as young as or younger than the Fleet Farm executive upon winning their first congressional race.

Will Iowa, Minnesota, and Wisconsin Provide Any Drama in 2014's Gubernatorial Races?

Gubernatorial elections have been decided by single digits over the last four elections in just four states - three are in the Upper Midwest: Iowa, Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Rhode Island.

Which US Senate Seats Will Flip in 2014? A Survey of Media Rankings

Media election forecasters can only agree on one slot of the Top 12 U.S. Senate seats most likely to change control after the November elections.

Could Dayton Be the Lone Democratic Victor in 2014 Midwestern Gubernatorial Races?

At least one other Midwestern state has voted a Democrat into office each of the 15 times Minnesotans have elected a Democratic governor since statehood.

The Rise of GOP Primary Challengers in Minnesota US House Races

The rate of Republican incumbents facing primary challengers has tripled during the last decade compared to the previous 40 in the Gopher State.

Could Republicans Sweep All 9 Midwestern Gubernatorial Elections in 2014?

It has only happened one time in the last 90+ years, but the political climate just might allow the GOP to claim all nine Midwestern governorships on the ballot this November.

Collin Peterson By the Numbers

Peterson will crack the Top 10 list for the oldest U.S. Representatives in Minnesota history by the end of this term; only five others have served longer in the chamber.

Do Democratic Hopes of Beating Kline End with a Dayton Loss?

A political party losing control of the governor's mansion has picked up a U.S. House seat in just three cycles in Minnesota history.

Collin Peterson: My Coffers Are Fine, Thank You Very Much

You wouldn't know it from the media, but Peterson just recorded his strongest off-year 4th Quarter fundraising haul ever - coming in at nearly 75 percent higher than his average receipts over the previous decade.

Minnesota: Where Female Lieutenant Governors Reign

Gopher State voters have elected women to the lieutenant governor slot more than any other state - eight times since 1982 - tallying a record 31 consecutive years and counting.

Will the Vikings Win More Games in Their New Stadium?

NFL teams have made the playoffs just as frequently and won more Super Bowls during the last five years in their old stadiums as compared to the first five years in their new facilities.

Can Dayton Catch Lightning in a Bottle Twice?

Minnesotans have elected a Democratic governor with a Democrat in the White House in just four of 28 cycles since statehood - with none in their second term.

Buyer's Remorse? Franken Loss Would Make History in Minnesota

Minnesotans have never flipped a U.S. Senate seat in back-to-back-to-back elections.

Marty Seifert's Political Hiatus: Not a Problem

A new study suggests Seifert's three years out of government should not decrease his chances of winning the Republican gubernatorial nomination.

Plurality Blues: Governors on the Hot Seat

Since 1900, less than half of plurality-winning governors who were eligible for another term were reelected to their seat in the next cycle.



Political Crumbs

Gubernatorial Highs and Lows

Two sitting governors currently hold the record for the highest gubernatorial vote ever received in their respective states by a non-incumbent: Republican Matt Mead of Wyoming (65.7 percent in 2010) and outgoing GOPer Dave Heineman of Nebraska (73.4 percent in 2006). Republican Gary Herbert of Utah had not previously won a gubernatorial contest when he notched a state record 64.1 percent for his first victory in 2010, but was an incumbent at the time after ascending to the position in 2009 after the early departure of Jon Huntsman. Meanwhile, two sitting governors hold the record in their states for the lowest mark ever recorded by a winning gubernatorial candidate (incumbent or otherwise): independent-turned-Democrat Lincoln Chafee of Rhode Island (36.1 percent in 2010) and Democrat Terry McAuliffe of Virginia (47.8 percent in 2013).


An Idaho Six Pack

Two-term Idaho Republican Governor Butch Otter only polled at 39 percent in a recent PPP survey of the state's 2014 race - just four points ahead of Democratic businessman A.J. Balukoff. Otter's low numbers reflect his own struggles as a candidate (witness his weak primary win against State Senator Russ Fulcher) combined with the opportunity for disgruntled Idahoans to cast their votes for one of four third party and independent candidates, who collectively received the support of 12 percent of likely voters: Libertarian John Bujak, the Constitution Party's Steve Pankey, and independents Jill Humble and Pro-Life (aka Marvin Richardson). The six candidate options in a gubernatorial race sets an all-time record in the Gem State across the 46 elections conducted since statehood. The previous high water mark of five candidates was reached in seven previous cycles: 1902, 1904, 1908, 1912, 1914, 1966, and 2010.


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