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MN Governor


Can Dayton, Franken Both Win By Double-Digits in 2014?

The DFL/Democratic parties have won Minnesota gubernatorial and U.S. Senate contests in the same cycle in just three out of 25 elections and never by double-digits in both.

Johnson vs Dayton: Out with the Old, In with the Young?

Dayton bucked history in 2010: the younger Minnesota gubernatorial nominee has been victorious at more than twice the rate as the older nominee since statehood.

Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primary Roundup

The Minnesota Republican gubernatorial primary was the most competitive race since 1924 and the first ever to see four candidates reach the 20 percent mark.

Will Iowa, Minnesota, and Wisconsin Provide Any Drama in 2014's Gubernatorial Races?

Gubernatorial elections have been decided by single digits over the last four elections in just four states - three are in the Upper Midwest: Iowa, Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Rhode Island.

Could Republicans Sweep All 9 Midwestern Gubernatorial Elections in 2014?

It has only happened one time in the last 90+ years, but the political climate just might allow the GOP to claim all nine Midwestern governorships on the ballot this November.

Do Democratic Hopes of Beating Kline End with a Dayton Loss?

A political party losing control of the governor's mansion has picked up a U.S. House seat in just three cycles in Minnesota history.

Minnesota: Where Female Lieutenant Governors Reign

Gopher State voters have elected women to the lieutenant governor slot more than any other state - eight times since 1982 - tallying a record 31 consecutive years and counting.

Can Dayton Catch Lightning in a Bottle Twice?

Minnesotans have elected a Democratic governor with a Democrat in the White House in just four of 28 cycles since statehood - with none in their second term.

Marty Seifert's Political Hiatus: Not a Problem

A new study suggests Seifert's three years out of government should not decrease his chances of winning the Republican gubernatorial nomination.

Tim Pawlenty: The Forgotten Man?

During Jeopardy's Teacher's Tournament, three educators could not name the capital city from where Tim Pawlenty governed for eight years.

100 Years of Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primaries

Gopher State Republicans have not had a competitive gubernatorial primary since 1924.

CT, IL, MN Gubernatorial Races: From 2010 Nail-Biters to 2014 Snoozers?

Since 1900, there have been 18 candidates elected governor by less than one percentage point who won reelection the next cycle by double-digits; could Dan Malloy, Mark Dayton, and Pat Quinn do the same in 2014?

What Are Mark Dayton's True Reelection Odds?

Prognosticators list the Minnesota gubernatorial seat as 'safe' for the incumbent in 2014; history suggests the odds are just shy of that.

Tim Pawlenty Returns to Jeopardy! After Three-Year Hiatus

But a single pop culture moment is unlikely to launch a new political campaign for one of Minnesota's biggest Republican names any time soon.

Can Mark Dayton Reach 50% in 2014?

The state with the lowest level of voter support for Democratic gubernatorial candidates in the 20th and 21st Centuries is...Minnesota?

Through the Dark-Colored Lenses of Mark Dayton

"Death," "dead end," "decline" and "grim future" were but a few of the words and phrases Minnesota's governor used to frame the problems of his state and country.

Pawlenty Defeats Klobuchar? Don't Hold Your Breath

Sitting or former Minnesota governors have lost 11 of 12 U.S. Senate campaigns since popular vote elections were introduced 100 years ago.

Can Mark Dayton Give Barack Obama a Boost in Minnesota in 2012?

History suggests having a DFLer in St. Paul is unlikely to be a decisive factor, but may be worth +1.4 points to Obama in next year's presidential race

Minnesota: More Governors than Vikings Head Coaches Since 1961

Vikings rank fourth for the longest average coaching tenure in the NFL over the past 50 years; gubernatorial turnover in Gopher State is 25 percent higher than Vikings head coaches

Republican Dominance over Upper Midwestern Governorships through the Years

Republicans have controlled the governor's mansions of IA, MN, ND, SD, and WI for over 72 percent of the time since 1846

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Political Crumbs

Gubernatorial Highs and Lows

Two sitting governors currently hold the record for the highest gubernatorial vote ever received in their respective states by a non-incumbent: Republican Matt Mead of Wyoming (65.7 percent in 2010) and outgoing GOPer Dave Heineman of Nebraska (73.4 percent in 2006). Republican Gary Herbert of Utah had not previously won a gubernatorial contest when he notched a state record 64.1 percent for his first victory in 2010, but was an incumbent at the time after ascending to the position in 2009 after the early departure of Jon Huntsman. Meanwhile, two sitting governors hold the record in their states for the lowest mark ever recorded by a winning gubernatorial candidate (incumbent or otherwise): independent-turned-Democrat Lincoln Chafee of Rhode Island (36.1 percent in 2010) and Democrat Terry McAuliffe of Virginia (47.8 percent in 2013).


An Idaho Six Pack

Two-term Idaho Republican Governor Butch Otter only polled at 39 percent in a recent PPP survey of the state's 2014 race - just four points ahead of Democratic businessman A.J. Balukoff. Otter's low numbers reflect his own struggles as a candidate (witness his weak primary win against State Senator Russ Fulcher) combined with the opportunity for disgruntled Idahoans to cast their votes for one of four third party and independent candidates, who collectively received the support of 12 percent of likely voters: Libertarian John Bujak, the Constitution Party's Steve Pankey, and independents Jill Humble and Pro-Life (aka Marvin Richardson). The six candidate options in a gubernatorial race sets an all-time record in the Gem State across the 46 elections conducted since statehood. The previous high water mark of five candidates was reached in seven previous cycles: 1902, 1904, 1908, 1912, 1914, 1966, and 2010.


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