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Montana


Will Montana Split Its Congressional Ballot Again in 2014?

Only two of 27 states have split their vote for U.S. Senate and at-large U.S. House seats in a majority of elections over the last century: Montana (78 percent of the time) and South Dakota (60 percent).

Do Montanans Care Where Their Senators Are Born?

Democrats are stirring the pot after statements by 2014 hopeful Steve Daines raise questions about the depth of his connections to the Treasure State.

Advantage Walsh in Montana US Senate Race? Not So Fast

Appointed U.S. Senators who subsequently run for their seat have been elected only a shade above 50 percent of the time.

7 Gubernatorial Election Double-Takes

The Idaho GOP didn't give us Labrador vs. Otter in 2014, so Smart Politics takes a look back at some eyebrow raising surname matchups in gubernatorial electoral history.

Democracy in Action: Major Party Competition in US House Elections

Indiana has placed Democratic and Republican candidates on the ballot in a nation-best 180 consecutive U.S. House races, with New Hampshire, Minnesota, Idaho, and Montana all tallying 100 or more.

From Helena to D.C.? Schweitzer Would Make History in Montana

No ex- or sitting Montana governor has ever gone on to win a U.S. Senate (or U.S. House) race.

Baucus Retirement Opens Up 2nd Longest Democratic-Held Senate Seat

It has been 36,577 days (March 3, 1913) since the last time a Republican sat in Montana's Class II U.S. Senate seat, behind only Louisiana's Class II seat (47,534 days, March 3, 1883).

Iceberg: Split-Ticket Voting Leaves GOPers Cold in Two Northern US Senate Races

North Dakota's Rick Berg and Montana's Denny Rehberg were the latest Republican victims of a rich history of split-ticket voting in their respective states.

Projections: 2012 U.S. Senate Races

Early expectations of a Republican takeover of the nation's upper legislative chamber may have lost steam, but close races still abound.

Projections: 2012 Gubernatorial Races

Western states to provide high drama late Tuesday down the ballot.

Libertarian Candidates Surging in US Senate Contests

Libertarian hopefuls in Michigan and Missouri are on pace to notch the best ever showing for a non-major party U.S. Senate candidate in their respective states.

Romney Still Slow off the Blocks

While all eyes were on Wisconsin this week, Mitt Romney turned in more sluggish performances in presidential primaries held on Tuesday. Despite effectively sealing the nomination nearly two months ago, Romney failed to crack the 70 percent mark in two more states: South Dakota (66.0 percent) and Montana (68.4 percent)....

Will Any Century-Long Streaks End in 2012 U.S. Senate Races?

More than a dozen states have never popularly elected a GOP Senator while voting for a Democratic presidential nominee in the same cycle; will any break with tradition in 2012?

Why Jon Tester Can Survive an Obama Loss in Montana in 2012

Montana leads the nation in producing victorious Democratic Senate nominees in the face of Republicans carrying the state's Electoral College votes

Rehberg Would Make GOP History by Defeating Tester in MT US Senate Race

Sitting at-large representatives have unseated U.S Senators just 17 percent of the time over the last 100 years - a feat never accomplished by a Republican

Obama's Near Misses Northwest of the Mississippi

Barack Obama's convincing victory on Election Day was noted for several strong performances West of the Mississippi - picking up New Mexico, Colorado, and Nevada as well as taking back Iowa, which had flipped to the GOP in 2004. Obama also turned in particularly impressive performances in Montana and the...

Live Blog: Montana Primary

9:00 p.m. CNN, Fox News, and MSNBC have all called the state of Montana for Barack Obama. Obama ends the primary campaign with victories in 29 states, plus the District of Columbia, Virgin Islands, and Guam. Obama also won the Texas caucus. Clinton ended up winning 20 states plus Michigan,...

South Dakota and Montana Preview; ARG Finds Clinton Up 26 Points in SD

Even as Hillary Clinton racked up victories in Pennsylvania, Indiana, West Virginia, Kentucky, and Puerto Rico, political analysts (echoed by cable news anchors) forecasted the final presidential primary contests on June 3rd (South Dakota and Montana) as "Obama states." This hasty analysis by political commentators and anchors was driven by...

Montana Caucus Live Blog (GOP)

3:29 p.m. The Repubican caucuses end in Montana at 11:00 p.m. CST. Republicans will allocate all 25 of its convention delegates today, by the vote of County Republican Party leaders. 7:20 p.m. Republican (5% reporting) Romney = 36% McCain = 30% Paul = 23% Huckabee = 11% 7:20 p.m. Republican...



Political Crumbs

Final Four Has Presidential Approval

By edging Michigan in the final seconds Sunday, the University of Kentucky guaranteed that one school in the Final Four this year would be located in a state that was not carried by President Barack Obama in 2012. (Connecticut, Florida, and Wisconsin had previously earned Final Four slots over the weekend). Across the 76 Final Fours since 1939, an average of 3.1 schools have been located in states won by the president's ticket during the previous election cycle. All four schools have come from states won by the president 29 times, with the most recent being the 2009 Final Four featuring Connecticut, Michigan State, North Carolina, and Villanova. On 30 occasions three Final Four schools have been located in states won by the president, with two schools 11 times and only one school six times (the most recent being 2012 with Kansas, Kentucky, Louisville, and Ohio State). There has never been a Men's NCAA Division I Final Four in which no schools were located in states carried by the president's ticket.


Three for the Road

A new Rasmussen Poll shows Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker in a dead heat with likely 2014 Democratic nominee Mary Burke. Walker is seeking to win his third consecutive election after prevailing in 2012's recall contest. Eight of his predecessors accomplished this feat: Republicans Lucius Fairchild (in 1869), Jeremiah Rusk (1886), Robert La Follette (1904), Emanuel Philipp (1918), John Blaine (1924), Walter Kohler (1954), Warren Knowles (1968), and Tommy Thompson (1994). Three others Badger State governors lost on their third campaign: Democrat George Peck (1894), Progressive Philip La Follette (1938), and Republican Julius Heil (1942). One died in office before having the opportunity to win a third contest (GOPer Walter Goodland in 1947) while another resigned beforehand (Democrat Patrick Lucey in 1977 to become Ambassador to Mexico). Overall Wisconsin gubernatorial incumbents have won 35 of 47 general election contests, or 74.5 percent of the time.


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