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New York


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Big GOP Gain in NY-09 Mirrors 50-Year Average in New York US House Special Elections

By Eric Ostermeier on September 15, 2011
Turner's 29-point net bump from the 2010 general is just 1-point shy of the 30-point average gain against the vacating party since 1962.

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New York US House Special Elections Average 30-Point Swing Over the Last Half-Century

By Eric Ostermeier on September 6, 2011
The vacating incumbent's party has shed an average of 30 points from the previous general election's MoV in New York special election races since 1962.

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Bill O'Reilly Errs: Weiner Represents 40th Most Conservative Democratic U.S. House District

By Eric Ostermeier on June 7, 2011
NY-09 not the "very, very far left district" O'Reilly claims it to be.

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The Camera Does Not Lie: A Content Analysis of Anthony Weiner's Official House Photo Album

By Eric Ostermeier on June 3, 2011
The camera catches Weiner without a suit jacket 50 percent of the time, his shirt sleeves rolled up in 37 percent of photos, and 23 percent of snapshots cannot confirm the congressman is wearing trousers.

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The Quotable Weiner: A Second Look

By Eric Ostermeier on June 2, 2011
He said what last month?

Gillibrand Scores Biggest Fundraising Surge Among 2012 U.S. Senate Incumbents

By Eric Ostermeier on May 31, 2011
New York junior Senator jumps from #17 to #5 for cash on hand among 2012 U.S. Senate incumbents last quarter.

With Hochul Victory, 1 in 5 Democrats First Entered US House via Special Election

By Eric Ostermeier on May 26, 2011
15 percent of current U.S. Representatives (63 members) were first elected by special election including 20 percent of the current Democratic caucus

Media Misfires During NY-26 Election Night Coverage

By Eric Ostermeier on May 25, 2011
Erroneous statements abound during coverage and analysis of NY-26 Tuesday evening

NY-26: One in Four U.S. House Seats Flipped in Special Elections Since 2002

By Eric Ostermeier on May 24, 2011
Special elections have seen 9 of 37 seats change parties over the last 9+ years, or 24.3 percent of all races

House Republican Committee Chairs Enjoy Huge Spike in Fundraising

By Eric Ostermeier on April 21, 2011
Collective contributions to 21 GOP House Committee chairs up 93 percent in Q1 2011 from same period in 2009

Which States Produce the Most U.S. Senators?

By Eric Ostermeier on January 24, 2011
Over the last 100 years Ohio, New York, and Missouri have given birth to the most Senators, while Ohio, Vermont and Mississippi boast the largest percentage of home-born Senators

Race, Not Party, Defines Charlie Rangel Censure Vote

By Eric Ostermeier on December 3, 2010
Just 25 percent of racial minorities in the U.S. House (and only 1 black) voted for Rangel censure, compared to 92 percent of whites and 87 percent of white Democrats

Are Democrats Becoming a Two-State Party?

By Eric Ostermeier on November 16, 2010
Percentage of Democratic U.S. House Seats from California and New York soars to a record high of 28.1 percent after the 2010 elections

Nancy Pelosi 1 of 8 House Democrats to Win by Bigger Margin in 2010 than 2008

By Eric Ostermeier on November 7, 2010
Only 3 percent of 230 Democratic U.S. House incumbents on the ballot increased their margin of victory in 2010 compared to 2008; Nancy Pelosi had the second largest increase

From the Yankees to the Jets: Will the Vikings End Minnesota's New York Curse Tonight?

By Eric Ostermeier on October 11, 2010
Vikings are just 1-7 against the Jets all time

Was Amy Klobuchar Snookered by Chuck Schumer?

By Eric Ostermeier on October 6, 2010
Everything Minnesota fans do not want to know about the Twins-Yankees rivalry

The Great Divide: Birth States of U.S. Supreme Court Justices

By Eric Ostermeier on July 1, 2010
Only 11 of 111 justices have been born in the 24 states west of the Mississippi River; just 25 percent over the last 50 years

Which States Produce the Most Governors?

By Eric Ostermeier on June 24, 2010
New York has given birth to 116 future governors of other states, or 1 for every 1.9 years since statehood; South Carolina leads the nation with 88 percent of its governors 'home-grown'

Reapportionment Winners and Losers Through the Years

By Eric Ostermeier on April 28, 2010
Pennsylvania (-17 seats) and New York (-16 seats) have lost the largest number of seats from their peak U.S. House delegations; the Keystone State is slated to lose a seat again for a 9th consecutive census period

Will Republicans Regain Eric Massa's NY-29 Seat?

By Eric Ostermeier on March 10, 2010
GOP carried the region in U.S. House races from 1986-2006 by an average of 43.4 points

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Political Crumbs

Governor vs. Governor vs. Governor

May 16, 2012

The last election cycle saw five ex-governors attempt to win back their old jobs, with success stories in California (Jerry Brown), Iowa (Terry Branstad), and Oregon (John Kitzhaber). But in 1904, the State of Wisconsin saw three governors on the general election ballot: two-term Republican incumbent Robert La Follette, former two-term Democratic Governor William Peck (elected in 1890 and 1892), and former two-term Republican Governor Edward Scofield (elected in 1896 and 1898). La Follette - with Teddy Roosevelt at the top of the ticket winning the presidency - cruised to an 11.3-point victory over Peck with 50.5 percent of the vote. Scofield ran a distant fourth on the National Republican ticket with just 2.7 percent - also losing to Social Democrat William Arnold who received 5.5 percent, but beating Prohibition and Socialist Labor candidates.


A Vote for No One

May 9, 2012

More than 50,000 North Carolina residents who voted in the Tuesday's Republican presidential primary opted for 'no preference' on their ballot, or 5.2 percent. That marks the second highest percentage of those who have done so in the 40 years of the modern primary era, behind the 9.8 percent who indicated no preference during George H.W. Bush's rout over Pat Buchanan in the state twenty years ago in 1992. In 2008, 4.0 percent were likewise noncommittal, with 1.7 percent voting no preference in 2000, 3.8 percent in 1996, 1.0 percent in 1988, 2.7 percent in 1980, and 1.7 percent in 1976.


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