Been sick again today, but this sort of news item seems important.
There's a lot of coverage out there, but I'll go with my basic AP News on Yahoo. As a physical scientist, the procedure for coming up with these numbers has obvious flaws, but it seems to have a history of working relatively well. Doubling the national death rate of a country is far from a humanitarian success. Hard to figure out what else to say other than noting the 57 deaths per 1000 live births child death rate! Ouch.
Link to the Lancet article, registration required.