2012: A Claim With Poor Evidence

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"The year will end on December 21, 2012." This claim is a common one these days; all of us have heard it. Many of us have heard these claims and know where they have stemmed from: The Mayan Calendar. Quite of number of people believe that the end of the Mayan Calendar also means the end of the world. The problem with this is the claim is outrageous and with other "doomsday" predictions such as Y2K and May 21, it is hard to believe.

When reading this article the evidence that the supporters give us isn't very helpful. The Mayan Calendar ending on this date: easily dismissible. Increased activity on the sun: not very alarming. The decrease in oil and other social problems: humans have always had problems before; one problem doesn't mean the end of the world. The problem with all these claims about the end of the world is there isn't any strong sign that shows an upcoming catastrophe.

I don't think the world is coming to an end soon. The Mayan Calendar idea most likely is being used as a reason to spout another claim. My reason for the calendar ending on December 2012 is they either didn't have time or a reason to continue forward with it. There is also little to nothing about the world ending in Mayan records.

Sure there may be a possibility for an upcoming apocalypse, but it cannot be proved by rumors or random findings. You need some outrageous evidence to support this claim.

Source: http://abcnews.go.com/International/story?id=5301284&page=1#.Ty8mR08mwiw

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I agree with a lot of what you said! Just because their calendar ends at that date does not mean the world will end - I mean, the Mayans were one of only how many civilizations that have existed in the history of the world? And I haven't paid too much attention to all of the hype about this, but have scientists/etc considered when the calendar was actually made? Could it possibly have been made when their civilization was collapsing?
As to the part about humanity falling apart, I do agree that it probably has nothing to do with the calendar, but I can't agree that it isn't symbolic of the end...

Agreed: I don't think there is nearly enough evidence to support this extraordinary claim. It is also interesting that there is scant evidence in Mayan records about the world ending. I really like the logical reasoning in this blog, and the incorporation of scientific thinking. There is an open mindedness about the possibility of the claims being true, but it is accompanied by the request for more evidence.

Y2K was supposed to be the end of technology and a major issue. However, people put too much emphasis on an unlikely series of events. Because the date on the computer would change from a 6 digit code, people thought all computers would malfunction. Similar to the Mayan calender, people are putting to much empahsis on little details or coincidencies and linking them together. Good post!

I agree with you. I think people are reading way to much into something that has extraordinary claims. After all like you said I don't think they had a reason to continue with it. Their calendar was already pretty long. I think they just decided they had planned enough in the future and there was no need to continue. It is important to remember when hearing about such extraordinary claims one must have extraordinary evidence. Like you said there is very little evidence to suggest why the calendar ends. I also agree with you about Y2K. Another issue that could be used as an example is the rapture. Last spring semester people were walking around campus talking about the end of the world, yet nothing happened. I also think people are putting emphasis on little details that really don't have a meaning behind them.

Yes. "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence!" This calendar is an argument from antiquity fallacy. I do believe the world will be end for the sake of the age of the earth, but at least not this year. Like you mentioned in your entry, our human being always have a lot of problem, which might shorten the age of the earth. But simply believing a claims without any evidence sounds really silly. I like the topic you chose. I think someone just makes use of Mayan calendar to spread some rumors and create apophenia. I guess the only positive result of this extraordinary claim is to stimulate people cherishing their lives before their death.

This is a really good example demonstrating pseudoscience. You're absolutely right--presenting and extraordinary claim like this requires that one has extraordinary evidence, and simply put, the evidence just isn't there. This whole ordeal seems like a case of "illusory correlation" or seeing relationships that don't necessarily exist. We assume that global warming, social crises, etc imply that the world ending, but we just don't have proof of this relationship.

I'm really curious to hear people's opinions on the great prophets like Nostradamus. Some of his claims have proven "correct" but those are the only instances that we seem to remember. We forget or disregard all of the instances from when he was incorrect.

Really great comments guys!

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This page contains a single entry by degro086 published on February 5, 2012 6:15 PM.

Wait I can get away with only 15 minutes a day?? was the previous entry in this blog.

DREAMS: THE SECRET LIFE is the next entry in this blog.

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