results of high wind run
I ran a case with wind speeds increased 10% over the base case (2008 forcing). Less ice forms, as predicted (about 10-15% less integrated over the lake) but it's still a lot of ice. It remains to be seen how much stronger the open lake winds really are. In the high wind case, more heat is lost from the lake even though less ice forms. The surface cold layer is thicker in this case.
I find it strange that in none of these cases are we seeing any mixing below about 80m, even thoug hthe density differences are vanishingly small. These big wind events should be mixing down to the bottom, cooling off the lower layer, but this is not happening. This along with the bizarre behavior around 4C makes me think it might be worth considering a different mixing scheme.
I'm not sure who to discuss this with- I don't think the GLERL guys spend a lot of time thinking about this sort of thing. Wuest or Carmack, those sort of guys might have some insights.