April 2009 Archives

Several documents on a proposed HSR line in England have recently been released after a Freedom of Information Act Request. Links to these are below:

"Estimated Carbon Impact of a New North-South Line" (pdf)

1.20 (p.6) The London to Manchester base scenario results indicate that none of the rail options under consideration achieve emissions parity, even at 100% rail share. In other words if a new line is constructed and operated on this route, regardless of the rail technology employed, the amount of emissions generated would not reduce to the level emitted in the do-nothing scenario. Therefore, based on the assumptions applied, there is no potential carbon benefit in building a new line on the London to Manchester route over the 60 year appraisal period. In essence, the additional carbon emitted by building and operating a new rail route is larger than the entire quantity of carbon emitted by the air services.

1.21 Figure 1.3 illustrates the key findings for the London to Glasgow/Edinburgh route
for the base scenario. The results are substantially different than those for the
London to Manchester route, showing how emissions parity can be achieved for all
rail options, at increasing levels of rail share.

DfT New Line Capacity
Study – cost estimate
This document is redacted, i.e. key numbers are missing, because "The release of this information has the potential for disproportionate and unwarranted adverse impact on property values which may result from publication (generalised blight)." but for the HSR analyst, there is still lots of good comparable information on other systems.

The reports were prepared by Booz, Allen, and Hamilton consultants.

APA presentations online

My presentations from the ongoing APA conference are now online.

Levinson, David (2009) Measuring the Structure of Transport Networks: Beyond Density, Diversity, and Design. American Planning Association National Conference, April 26, 2009

Levinson, David (2009) The Importance of Being Accessible. American Planning Association National Conference, April 25, 2009

Check your Weight while you Wait

From Snark Hunting: Check your Weight while you Wait

"In Amsterdam, a bus shelter ad for a fitness gym serves up your weight while you sit on the bench."

Maybe Timex can sponsor a bus schedule monitor.

Toll Road Traffic and Revenue Forecasts: An Interpreter's Guide by Rob Bain, a YouTube Video promoting the report:

YouTube - An Interpreter's Guide


Turning Traffic Upside Down

I we will be talking about Accessibility at the APA conference as well ( I have just discovered):
2009 APA National Planning Conference :: Turning Traffic Upside Down

Activity at a Glance Notes
Day Saturday
Time 1:00 PM - 4:00 PM

Speakers
Ellen J. Greenberg, AICP
Richard W. Lee, AICP
David Levinson

See you in Minneapolis

Demolition Means Progress

| 3 Comments

From the NY Times: An Effort to Save Flint, Mich., by Shrinking It

I worked in growth management back in the day, but now Berkeley has a program called "Shrinking Cities in a Global Perspective Program".

Overall, it seems a shame to let all that sunk capital and infrastructure go to waste, and the wasted human capital associated with high unemployment also seems like it should be a temporary disequilibrium, surely someone could make use of it.

If you are attending the American Planning Association conference in Minneapolis this upcoming weekend, I will be presenting at the session: Infrastructure in the Networked City

Sessions S462

Day Sunday
Time 4:00 PM - 5:15 PM
Certification Maintenance CM | 1.25 credits
Speakers
Uri P. Avin, FAICP
Elena Safirova
David M. Levinson

I will talk about the relationship of network structure to travel behavior.

From McClatchy: Stimulus funds road projects — especially in Obama's Illinois

WASHINGTON — When President Barack Obama proudly announced last week that the government had approved its 2,000th transportation project under the economic stimulus plan, he hailed it as a moment "when a generation of Americans seized the chance to remake the face of this nation."

Many of those Americans apparently live in Obama's home state of Illinois.


Slower than a speeding bullet

From The Economist ... The progress of high-speed rail | Slower than a speeding bullet

Brian Taylor of UCLA gets quoted. "Brian Taylor, a transport expert at the University of California, Los Angeles, worries that the “coolness factor” of high-speed rail can tempt planners to look for a place to lay track, rather than for problems that fast trains might solve. "

Too good to ride the buses

Anti-transit (especially anti-bus bias) North of the Border (from Montreal Gazette):
Too good to ride the buses

Via Montreal Gazette: the site "The Ten Most" has a post on The Ten Most Confusing Road Signs In America

I have personally seen #9 and #4. #4 in St. Paul (the intersection of Montreal Ave, Montreal Ct, and Montreal Way) is by no means the most confusing aspect of St. Paul street naming, which is 7th street, which takes over 8th St and then crosses 6th and the Streets. Surely it would have been easier (and more poetic) to name it Fort Road as it is farther south of downtown.


View Larger Map

New vehicles

| 1 Comment

From Ananova: An Electric Unicycle - the Uno

From BoingBoing: Puma: GM and Segway take a swing at a small car (the comments on this article dismantle the concept quite well).

Traffic deaths last year lowest since '61

This is due both to a lower fatality rate (1.28 / 100 million vehicle miles traveled vs. 1.36 in 2007) and lower VMT due to gas prices and the recession.

The lower fatality rate is attributed by the article to seat belt use, and one has to credit safer cars and faster response times (cell-phones) and better medical treatment as well.

I will be giving my talk on "The Coevolution of Transport and Land Use" for the Transportation Research At McGill (TRAM) seminar in Montreal.

The seminars are held every Thursday from 12:00 pm to 1:00 pm in room 420 at the Macdonald-Harrington Building.

The new issue of
Journal of Transport and Land Use has hit the newsstands.

Vol 2, No 1 (2009)
Table of Contents
Access, Aging, and Impairments Part A: Impairments and Behavioral Responses by Jan-Dirk Schmoecker

Access to Public Transit and Its Influence on Ridership for Older Adults in Two U.S. Cities by Daniel Baldwin Hess

Mode Choice of Older People Before and After Shopping: A Study with London Data by
Fengming Su, Jan-Dirk Schmoecker, Michael G.H. Bell

Determinants of Residential Location Decisions among the Pre-Elderly in Central Ohio by Hazel A. Morrow-Jones, Moon Jeong Kim

The Challenge of Using Public Transport: Descriptions by People with Cognitive Functional Limitations by Jenny Rosenkvist, Ralf Risser, Susanne Iwarsson, Kerstin Wendel, Agneta Stahl

Book Reviews
Review of Urban Structure Matters, review by Xueming Chen

Now in Portland, so reading the Portland news"paper", the Portland Oregonian: Metro maps out MAX's future across Portland

There is a nice website by Portland Metro: Build your high capacity system allowing users to select lines and see the costs. This is an interesting step in public involvement. It would be cooler if people could draw new lines rather than just selecting from potential lines.

HSR around the world

I am quoted in a nice article by Jessica Bernstein-Wax in the San Jose Mercury News: High-speed rail around the world -

But Dr. David Levinson, a civil engineering professor at the University of Minnesota who has studied high-speed trains, questioned whether California is the ideal place for the technology, given its mountainous terrain and a population density that is low compared with parts of the Northeast and certainly most Asian cities. "It's not the worst corridor in the U.S. — I can think of a lot of corridors that are sillier," Levinson said. "In terms of demand, it's not a terrible market. But in terms of cost it's much higher, and that's because of the mountains." Levinson predicted that the project, if completed, would balloon to at least $80 billion, particularly if the trains run underground on the Peninsula. "The people in the cities throughout the Peninsula are not going to want elevated trains going through their towns, and they're going to have to build tunnels," Levinson said. "That's going to drive up the costs."

It is part of special report on High-Speed Rail.

My talk upcoming at Portland State (Described as "slightly geeky" by Portland Transport)

Topic: Transport, Land Use, and Value

Abstract: This presentation considers co-evolutionary process between the development of land and transport networks. Using data from the rail and Underground in London and the streetcar system in the Twin Cities, the empirical relationship is established statistically under several different contexts, and hypotheses about the positive feedback nature of the interaction are tested. Using insights from empirical observation, a numerical simulation is constructed to more formally test the relationship, and to understand the extent to which allowing networks to vary in response to land use (and land use to vary in response to network) affects the spatial organization of each. Models of network growth which fix land use, and models of land use which fix network growth, underestimate the degree of hierarchy that emerges in the system. Given transportation creates land value, and recognizing the problem of underfunding transport infrastructure, new funding sources can be used to increase transport investment, create additional land value, and improve social welfare.

Portland State University
Center for Transportation Studies
Spring 2009 Transportation Seminar Series

Speaker: David Levinson
Associate Professor in the Department of Civil Engineering at the
University of Minnesota and Director of the Networks, Economics,
and Urban Systems (NEXUS) research group

Topic: Transport, Land Use, and Value

When: Friday, April 3, 2009, 12:00 - 1:00pm

Where: PSU Urban Center Building, SW 6th and Mill, Room 204

David Levinson

Network Reliability in Practice

Evolving Transportation Networks

Place and Plexus

The Transportation Experience

Access to Destinations

Assessing the Benefits and Costs of Intelligent Transportation Systems

Financing Transportation Networks

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