Traffic Forecasting - Past Performance Does Not Guarantee Future Results



Mike on Traffic finds Peak Travel and supports Fix-It-First: Traffic Forecasting - Past Performance Does Not Guarantee Future Results :

"Based on national and local trends, my conclusion is that it is very reasonable to think traffic growth has plateaued. The punchline for traffic impact studies: the "no-build" traffic forecasts should be the same as the existing traffic volumes. We don't need to do opening day forecasts and 20 year forecasts because they can reasonably be expected to be similar.

And given our huge budget shortfalls, this should also mean a policy of fixing the infrastructure we have. NOT expanding our transportation system to add capacity."


What is your academic opinion on this?
P.S. This blog only allows UMN IDs to comment?

David Levinson

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Access to Destinations

Assessing the Benefits and Costs of Intelligent Transportation Systems

Financing Transportation Networks

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This page contains a single entry by David Levinson published on December 12, 2011 10:53 AM.

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