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June 11, 2008

Walter Hansen obituary

From the Washington Post via Dick Pratt, an Obituary for Walter Hansen, developer of the Hansen accessibility measure.

Walter George Hansen - Transportation Consultant

"Walter George Hansen, 76, founder of a transportation planning consulting company, died of cancer May 15 at Inova Fairfax Hospital. He lived in Annandale.

"Mr. Hansen co-founded Alan M. Voorhees and Associates in 1961. By the mid-1960s, it was operating worldwide. It was acquired by Planning Research, later Ashland Technology and finally AECOM Technology. He worked for each of those firms in executive positions, including chief operating officer. He retired in 1996."

Photo here

April 12, 2008

Metcalfe's Law, Accessibility, and Zipf

Bob Metcalfe, Inventor of the Ethernet, famously proposed that the value of a communications network is given by n^2, where is n is the number of members on the network. This has been dubbed Metcalfe's Law.

In an article published in IEEE Spectrum titled Metcalfe's Law is Wrong, my colleague Andrew Odlyzko with Bob Briscoe and Benjamin Tilly reason from Zipf's Law (using Zipf's Law applied to word frequency, but as transportationists, we could just as easily use Zipf's Law as applied to city size distribution) why this is not the case, and that n log(n) is a better estimate. In short, not every connection is equally valuable. This is something well understood in transportation, where accessibility measures discount connections by a function of their travel impedance. However this article suggests there is something else going on, that there are, in a sense, diminishing returns to connections. The first connection is more valuable than the second.

One could organize this over time instead of just network size, and suggest that network value grows at a decreasing rate as all the best connections are made first, then the next best connections, and so on.

If this is the case, this generates the hypothesis (which I have not yet tested) that in a hedonic model of price (value) of real estate, accessibility measured as a product of the log of activities will give a better fit than one which just uses activities straight. (Results of hedonic models suggest accessibility is a significant factor in explaining house price, see Access to Destinations: Development of Accessibility Measures (esp. Chapter 5) for an example ).

Traditionally we represent Accessibility (Hansen's Accessibility Measure) at point i (Ai) as proportional to Destinations at j (say employment Ej) multiplied by f(Cij) where Cij is a travel cost, and f(Cij) is a travel impedance function (e.g. I/Cij^2) in the classic gravity model or e^(B*Cij) using a negative exponential form B<0).

Ai = ∑ Ej * f(Cij)

but the n log(n) argument suggests

Ai = log(∑Ej * f(Cij) )

might give a better fit in a behavioral or hedonic model dependent on accessibility.

(in short we discount the job for its difficulty to reach before we discount it because of diminishing returns. )

March 15, 2007

Mapping Accessibility Over Time

A new paper with Ahmed El-Geneidy publishes some of our results from the Access to Destinations Project ... Mapping Accessibility Over Time is now available for download from the Journal of Maps

The Journal of Maps is freely available, though registration is required (user name = email ... this is not immediately obvious).

The abstract notes:
"This study compares the changes in levels of accessibility over time in the Minneapolis - St. Paul region using two different modes (car and public transport). The importance of accessibility as a measure of land use and transportation planning performance in the region is revealed by comparing it over time. The longitudinal analysis being conducted shows increases in accessibility by car in most areas in the studied region, and a drop in accessibility by public transport over the period 1990 to 2000. The findings are compared to the levels of congestion in the region between the same time periods. This comparison shows the difference between the two measures and strengthens the importance of accessibility measures as a tool for monitoring and evaluating regional land use and transportation planning performance."

September 05, 2006

Access to Destinations Report Released

Our first report in the Access to Destinations Series: Development of Accessibility Measures
has finally been released.

The most interesting finding (which still awaits corroboration) is that despite the rising congestion of the past decade, accessibility in the Twin Cities region (measured as the number of things (jobs, workers, etc.) that you can get to in a fixed period of time) has been improving. Clearly this would be because there are more things per unit time, not because you can cover more distance per unit time. Increasing density increases accessibility, this is why cities form in the first place, it is nice to see it in the data. More in the final report. Thanks to my colleague Ahmed El-Geneidy who did most of the number crunching.

Continue reading "Access to Destinations Report Released" »

May 11, 2006

Randall Crane on Accessibility

Randall Crane's Urban Planning Research discusses accessibility vs. mobility. He seems to be searching for a definition.

Accessibility is nicely defined as the ease of reaching particular destinations. That can be operationalized (and easily communicated) as how much stuff you can get to in a particular amount of time (e.g. number of jobs within 20 minutes). Our book from the conference is now out. The first of many reports on methods for measuring accessibility will be out soon.

Randall rightly notes that the importance of different things varies for different people. Accessibility measured as above is clearly a supply (or opportunities) measure, and makes no account of demand. No one measure encapsulates the entire economy.

Choices have costs. Increasing acccessibility is not free. Enabling someone to access 101 grocery stores in 30 minutes travel by auto instead of 100 will likely not be noticed unless that grocery is somehow distinct, and valuable, to an individual consumer.

-- dml

Highways in Africa

In the most recent episode of The West Wing(the penultimate episode "Institutional Memory"), White House Chief of Staff C.J. Cregg is being recruited to help run a foundation loosely based on the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, and her idea of what the best use of $10 billion would be to criss-cross Africa with highways, which would enable the delivery of medicine, expand trade, and do all sorts of good things.

Continue reading "Highways in Africa" »

May 08, 2006

Visual Complexity

The website Visualcomplexity.com has some really nice transportation graphics, which I became aware of after seeing Manuel Lima present at Meshforum. In particular, the travel time remapping of the London Underground is quite slick.
--dml

November 13, 2004

Manitoba or Manhattan

Manitoba or Manhattan

The Access to Destinations Conference, which I helped organize was just completed. It brought together 30 researchers from 5 continents to discuss the theory and practice of questions related to Accessibility. Accessibility is a measure of the ease of reaching destinations, and is contrasted with mobility, which simply measures the ease of use of the network. Accessibility and congestion and related phenomena, but not identical. The ability to move faster on the network generally improves both accessibility and congestion. However, accessibility accounts for land use, while mobility measures don't. Manitoba is an example of a place with no congestion, and very low accessibility. Manhattan, on the other hand, has a great deal of congestion and a slow network, but also a great deal of accessibilty, many places can be reached in a very short time.

A book with the proceedings should be out in 2005.

Article in Minnesota Daily - November 9, 2004

Conference Program

Paper: Accessibility and the Journey to Work

Paper: Perspectives on Efficiency in Transportation

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