hoge0068: November 2011 Archives

Bloody Mary

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(http://urbanlegends.about.com/od/horrors/a/bloody_mary.htm)
-Bloody Mary-
The legend states Mary Worth lived a long time ago, a very beautiful young girl. One day she had a terrific accident that left her face so disfigured that nobody would look at her. She had not been allowed to see her own reflection after the accident in fear that she would loose her mind. Before this, she had spent long hours admiring her beauty in her bedroom mirror and so on...
The claim is that if you go in front of a mirror and say the words "Bloody Mary" in consecutive time intervals. Scientific Thinking Principle #4 Replicability means that a study's findings can be duplicated consistently. If one were to see a ghost, face, and or image in the mirror after consecutively saying the words "Bloody Mary" it is possible that an image may come from it. It would be highly impossible to replicate the situation in which the first "Bloody Mary" folktale situation was originated back in the 1960's or before. Scientific Thinking principle #6 Occam's Razor means if two explanations account equally for well for a phenomenon, we should generally select the more parsimonious one. It is possible that one can consecutively say the words "Bloody Mary" into a mirror and have an image appear afterwards in the mirror but it is more possible and highly likely that the house in which the person is in is haunted (if you believe in ghosts). I believe the most useful principle for evaluating this particular claim would be Occam's Razor due to the fact that so many folktales are becoming apparent this day and age.


Kids Need to Drink Cow's Milk

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Myth: Kids Need to Drink Cow's Milk.
Parents often insist that there children drink milk, but why? Kids who don't drink cow's milk are just as healthy as those children that do, studies show. In fact research suggests hat milk-free kids may be at less likely to develop colic, ear infections, and asthma. That was the article that CBS news had in its 15th Deadliest Food Myths. I believe milk is a substance that can help nutrient the bones in our bodies, but I don't believe it's the only nutrient that can replenish our bones. Scientific Principle #2: Correlation isn't Causation. Correlation designs don't permit casual inferences. A being milk could lead to an increase in bone health. B being bone health could possibly be influenced by drinking milk. But possibly C equals B meaning beans, green leafy vegetables (except spinach), fortified juices, soy milk and many other foods can also increase bone health. Another scientific principle I find to be useful under these circumstances is scientific principle #5 Extraordinary Claims Require Extraordinary Evidence. Meaning is the Evidence as extraordinary as the claim itself. Stating that milk is an essential substance needed to influence bone health means without milk you will not have strong bones. There is no evidence other than the fact that milk provides calcium. Stating that milk is the only substance that can provide calcium is extraordinarily outrageous but not extraordinary within it self. Many other nutrients provide calcium to the body which in turn provides bone health/strength (some nutrients/ substances stated earlier in this blog). Being that the only evidence milk has is that is it provides calcium is not enough to be given the title extraordinary evidence. I feel the scientific thinking principle #2 Correlation isn't Causation is the most useful for evaluating this particular claim.

Claim: http://www.cbsnews.com/2300-204_162-10004624-2.html?tag=page;next


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This page is an archive of recent entries written by hoge0068 in November 2011.

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