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Humphrey Institute Senior Fellow Jay Kiedrowski submitted this editorial for publication in the Star Tribune on February 5. The piece is reprinted below in its original unedited form.
Governor Pawlenty’s budget proposal fails to fix Minnesota’s long-term revenue and expenditure imbalance, has serious technical flaws, and has a questionable values premise. The legislature needs to do major surgery on his proposal for Minnesota to have a workable budget for the next two years.
The governor addressed a total budget deficit of $5 billion for July 2009 thru June 2011. He claims to have cut spending without increasing taxes to balance the budget for the next two years. Let’s examine the facts of his budget proposal:
Minnesota has a long-term revenue and expenditure imbalance: we spend more than we take in. We have had this problem since 1999 when, believing that the prosperity of the late 1990’s would last forever, the state officials cut income taxes and increased spending, both too much.
While the national recession is partly to blame for the current deficit, Minnesota entered this latest downturn with only a $157 million budget reserve and a projected imbalance of $1 billion from the failure of the governor and legislature to make critical decisions last year.
Governor Pawlenty’s budget proposal does little to address the permanent imbalance. First, the governor proposes new spending and cuts corporate taxes to add $860 million, increasing the deficit to $6 billion. Then, he proposes permanent spending cuts of only $2.5 billion (Some of these spending cuts will result in higher property taxes and higher health insurance costs.).
Questionable one-time solutions are used to address the remaining $3.5 billion. As a result, the governor’s own budget analysts show that the next budget is out of balance by $2.5 billion (even ignoring another $1 billion of inflation costs).
Recently, the bi-partisan Minnesota Budget Trends Study Commission urged the governor and legislature to balance both the current budget (2010-2011) and the next budget (2012-2013). The governor’s proposal clearly fails to balance the 2012-2013 budget putting Minnesota in jeopardy of constant budget deficits even in good economic times.
The worst proposal in the governor’s budget recommends that the state sell $1 billion of long-term bonds to fill the operating budget hole. It would pledge future tobacco settlement dollars to repay the bonds. This is like stealing from your child’s piggy back with no intent of repayment.
The governor’s proposal also includes an accounting gimmick of $1.3 billion by shifting school aid payments from one fiscal year to another making it appear that the school payments aren’t current obligations. School districts will have to finance the cost of the missing dollars at the expense of educating our children.
The third flaw is the general use of the Health Care Access Fund financed by a dedicated tax on hospitals and health care providers to support health care for those employed but underinsured. In essence, the governor will finance some of his spending increases or corporate tax cuts with dollars that are to be used for health care.
In his state of the state address, Governor Pawlenty spoke about a family around the kitchen table trying to balance its budget and admonished the legislature, "Please don’t raise their taxes.� His underlying theme is that it is better for them to spend their dollars on what they want, rather than have the government spend it on broader needs.
A week later, President Obama challenged the nation to address our common problems. Obama sees a "…new era of responsibility — a recognition, on the part of every American, that we have duties to ourselves, our nation, and the world.� If he were observing Governor Pawlenty’s symbolic family, he would argue that some of the family’s dollars should be afforded for taxes and distributed to those with greater problems. Collective needs are as important as individual needs, a traditional Minnesota value.
The legislature should revise the governor’s budget proposal:
Minnesotans are willing to sacrifice some of our current spending and we are willing to pay more in taxes for the common good of our state. Legislature, please approve a budget of which we can be proud.
Comments
Great post on the commission. I'd say you pretty much summed how i feel about this proposal. And your analysis of the technical flaws and reccomended budget approaches are compelling and novel within the minnesota political discourse.
House Speaker Margaret Anderson Kelliher had a great quote: "It's interesting to raise taxes on Minnesotans to pay for a corporate tax cut for people who may not even be Minnesotans."
Minnesota 2020 has a take on this too: tinyurl.com/c3y7rq
This is a new blog MN2020 started to allow more of a back and forth debate between the researchers and the progressive community in minnesota. check it out.
Posted by: Jason hitchcock | February 16, 2009 4:35 PM
Thanks Jason for your comment. I will be testifying Wednesday February 18th at the Legislative Commission on Planning and Fiscal Policy at 12:30 on the Governor's Unbalanced Budget.
When are we as a state going to put budget deficits behind us?
Posted by: Jay Kiedrowski | February 16, 2009 5:35 PM