March 31, 2005

New report on exit poll discrepancy

So, until today, I have been unwilling to go along with the so-called "tin-foil hat" crowd who believes that the 2004 election was stolen. Well, today I'm putting on my tin-foil hat. Everyone must read this report:

Analysis of 2004 Presidential Election Exit Poll Discrepancies

Its core finding is shocking:

...National poll results projected a Kerry victory by 3.0%, whereas the official count had Bush winning by 2.5%. Several methods have been used to estimate the probability that the national exit poll results would be as different as they were from the national popular vote by random chance. These estimates range from 1 in 959,000 to 1 in 1,240. No matter how one calculates it, the discrepancy cannot be attributed to chance.

It is a response to this document, put out by the Edison/Mitofsky group, which blamed the discrepancies on "reluctant Bush responders." It's theoretically plausible-- hell, I'd be ashamed to tell anyone that I voted for George W. Bush. Thank God I didn't. Or did I? How do I know? Was my vote counted? Who knows?

Posted by smit2174 at March 31, 2005 7:52 PM | TrackBack

Comments

great report

Posted by: wholesale at November 5, 2008 4:10 PM
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