China's Five Year Plans in Review
China has implemented several Five Year Plans (FYP) since 1953, and is currently within the 11th period (2006-2010). The following is a list of the near term objectives for the 11th period.
(1) To put in place a national (Science and Technology) S&T policy framework and coordination mechanism in response to climate change and to further improve the capacity of integrating S&T resources;
(2) To achieve internationally recognized research findings in key climate change areas;
(3) To develop and improve Chinese prediction, analysis, assessment and decision-making models on climate change;
(4) To advance research on key technologies for climate change mitigation and to launch pilot projects at local level and in industrial sectors;
(5) To make breakthroughs in the studies on the impacts of climate change on agriculture, water resources, costal areas, forestry, fishery, bio-diversity, desertification and human health and to implement demonstration projects on adaptation in typical vulnerable areas;
(6) To formulate the National Adaptation Strategy on Climate Change;
(7) To make China’s contributions to the design of international climate change regime;
(8) To build up highly professional research teams as well as research bases on climate change.
Over the past 55 years, China has achieved improvements in ambient air quality (e.g. lowering the concentration of SO2) and in decoupling emissions of SO2, NO2 and CO2 from economic growth. The emission reduction set out in the 9th FYP for SO2 and particulate were met and surpassed. It is also believed that they also met their 10th FYP but final statistics aren’t out yet. China has made some significant accomplishments along the way. A major accomplishment is that they reduced their dependence on coal from 63% to 30% over a 14-year period. They have also made major strides in the transportation department. In 2004 China put fuel-efficiency laws into effect that are similar to the European standards. Along with putting fuel-efficiency standards in place, China’s public transportation system has greatly improved. They have put a lot of work into adding new bus routes to major cities.
Even though China has made large strides in order to clean up their air, the large cities in China still have some of the largest air pollution problems in the world. One of China’s big problems is SO2 emissions, which dropped from 1990 to 2002 but now are on the rise again. Other problems include an increase of acid rain along with insufficient to reduce VOCs. Overall, China has increased their air quality since 1990, but in the past few years the progress has slowed or in some cases even reversed. Therefore the new 11th period FYP goals may not be very realistic.
Comments
What have they done to reduce their dependence on coal from 63% to 30%? Have they done something to reduce the total energy consumed, or used a more environmentally friendly fuel?
Posted by: Adam Clark | April 14, 2008 11:51 AM
Has China been meeting their 5-year plans all along, or just the recent ones? It seems that China still has a long way to go to be on par with other countries. And do they have plans to continue with them after this one expires, espcially if they don't meet their goals this time around?
Posted by: Laura Stranford | April 14, 2008 11:53 AM
Do your sources have actual quantities for the primary pollutants that are discharged?
How have they reduced coal usage- an actual decline or have they just added more of everything else?
I found it interesting that the fuel efficiency standards meet European standards (how do they compare with US stds?)
Posted by: Steve Sternberg | April 14, 2008 12:54 PM
These new 8 goals are all directly correlated with the global warming noise. Assuming the past five year plans involved more than climate change studies, what happens to them? I cant' imagine they are just disregarded. So are the old still priority, but now with a new eight to include, or what?
Posted by: Jake Hemberger | April 14, 2008 2:03 PM
These new eight objectives all apply directly to the global warming noise. Assuming the past sets of five year plans dealt with issues outside climate change, what happens to them. I can't imagine they're just dismissed. How do the new objectives relate to the old in terms of priority?
Posted by: Jake Hemberger | April 14, 2008 2:26 PM
What is the source of the other 70% of Chinese electricity? I know they like to use hydroelectric power but I have no idea what a percentage might be. I could be wrong, but I thought that they were still building coal plants like crazy in China, so are creating other sources even faster in order to reduce that percentage? And what years are in that 14 year period?
Posted by: Jason George | April 14, 2008 3:53 PM